2016年10月11日 星期二

Peak in Bonds/Low in Interest Rates – Is it Time Yet?

無最瘋狂, 只有更瘋狂 !

就如次按爆煲個時, 真係唔信無人見到風險 !

www.armstrongeconomics.com

If there was ever any question that this is a bond bubble with a 5,000-year low in interest rates, the final bit of insanity just took place. Italy managed to sell its first 50-year bond last week as investors were betting that the European Central Bank might soon add ultra-long debt to its asset-purchase stimulus scheme. Draghi has said he would do whatever it takes to stimulate inflation. Hence, speculators are betting they can sell these 50-year Italian bonds to the ECB for a profit.

The speculation was so great that about 16.5 billion euros in orders were received for a bond issue that was about 20% of that amount. They are not considering the risk that the upcoming referendum might overthrow Italy’s prime minister. This is speculation gone completely mad. These insane speculators have already bought 50-year bonds from Belgium, France, and Spain as well. Many of these same speculators have also signed up for Ireland’s 100-year bond in March.

8 則留言:

  1. 次按風爆, 死歐美投資者, 而如果呢次爆債災, 會死好多有錢人, 包括好多香港投資者 !
    真係好驚 !
    奇就奇在好多人都不擦覺, 還以為自己拾到寶 @-@

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  2. 真係好佩服策劃者的鋪排 !!
    呢次如果債冧, 股市會跟冧(因為好多人按股買債), 之後樓市跟隨跌(也有人按樓買債) ?
    有錢在手的, 又可以拾平野 !

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  3. 那么請教金是不是初段跟跌?或是反常—直上?纠结

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  4. 預計, 在加息初期金價可能會跌, 不過在股債爆後, 金價反而會高升, 因為資金無出路 !

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  5. 問題係, 金價在低位時, 實金可能缺貨, 所以如果平會繼續儲 !

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