Today acclaimed money manager Stephen Leeb spoke with King World News about gold, silver and natural gas. Here is what Leeb had to say: “I noticed that natural gas is trading somewhere around $3.75. What’s significant is that the price of natural gas today is about what it has averaged over the past four years. The reason four years is important is because it marks the time when unconventional or fracking gas came into its own.”
Stephen Leeb continues:
“That’s
when we started seeing this huge pickup in natural gas. We have had
all of this talk about all of these additional gas supplies, and yet
you still have natural gas sitting at $3.75. We also still have every
dedicated fracker, whether you are talking oil or natural gas,
basically losing money once you subtract out capital expenditures.
“So in order to continue increasing
production you have to keep adding more and more rigs. That’s why you
see these capital expenditures going through the roof. Rigs take a lot
of money to build and it takes a lot of people to run rigs. The late
Matt Simmons once told me that you really needed something like $8
natural gas in order for the energy that you put into a well to equal
what you get out. We are nowhere near $8 right now on natural gas.
The
fact that natural gas is now heading higher is beginning to make people
realize that fracking has its problems. So the US is telling people
that our new energy policy is this fantastic new technology called,
‘fracking.’ Yes, it does produce a lot more gas and a lot more oil,
but at a cost, and right now the cost is higher than current market
prices.
This
is no way to become energy independent. We are not creating policies
that are going to sustain growth in this country. Nobody is even
talking about growth in this country. Taxing and reducing
expenditures, that’s not a recipe for growth. That’s a recipe for
further catastrophe.
When
I watch what is happening I keep wondering, how much money is the Fed
going to print? And when does inflation really start to take hold?
It’s just a matter of time, Eric. The endgame here is just more money
printing to keep the economy going.
As
the world really begins to look seriously at the energy problems we
face going forward, governments will start to realize the strategic
importance of silver. Silver is a better buy than gold. Silver is
going to play a vital role in producing energy around the globe. Japan
is turning to solar. Saudi Arabia is turning to solar. Virtually
every major country in the world is turning to solar. There is not
going to be enough silver to satisfy the demand for solar energy.
Silver
has not broken $50 yet, but when I say silver is going to be a 3-digit
commodity, it will be. These small silver stocks, they are the ones
that are really going to be a big hit. What really worries me about
silver, Milton Friedman said silver was the first monetary metal.
Silver will benefit from the monetary catastrophe that is in front of
us because it is a monetary metal. But silver is also needed for cell
phones, energy, computers, automobiles and so on.
A
Stanford professor, Mark Jacobson, wrote a cover story in Scientific
American in late 2009. He said that in order for the world to ween
itself from hydrocarbons, we are going to need four or five terawatts
of electricity. The amount of silver that would be needed for that is
more than exists in the ground.
So
in the future when silver is well above $100 an ounce, you are likely
to see governments saying to people, ‘You can’t buy silver anymore.’
The price of silver will be going ballistic, but the mines will
continue to produce because the governments will continue to need every
ounce of silver they can get.
有邊次問 Leeb 佢唔係話準備大升? XD
回覆刪除旺旺
回旺旺,
回覆刪除Leeb 不嬲是金銀大好友 !