2016年3月28日 星期一

Fed's Williams: US doing fine, world isn't

finance.yahoo.com

"The real issue is the global financial and economic developments, there's uncertainty about what's happening around the world and how that feeds back to the dollar and the U.S. economy," he told 'Asia Squawk Box.'

Williams serves on the Federal Open Market Committee but is not one of the voting members.

He reiterated that the central bank's policy decisions would remain data dependent, singling out inflation as one of the Fed's top concerns.

"We've been missing our 2 percent inflation goal for three and a half years or so, global disinflationary factors are still holding inflation down...The data to me isn't so much about the labor market continuing to improve, I'm very positive on that, it's more about inflation moving back to 2 percent in the context of very strong headwinds," he explained, citing the strong dollar and low commodity prices.

"We have a domestic mandate...but that said, we understand that we're in a global economy so what happens in Brazil or China has a huge impact on the U.S. in terms of our inflation and employment goals."

Unlike in Europe and Japan however, slow inflation won't push the Fed to introduce a negative interest rate policy (NIRP), Williams noted, adding that the U.S. has other policy tools at its disposal, including quantitative easing and forward guidance.

"We're in a very different situation where we''ll be raising interest rates over the next few years and we're in much stronger economic position [than Europe or Japan] so it's not a tool that I see us using."

His remarks come as global markets seek clarity from Federal Reserve officials for clues on whether the central bank will hike rates at its April policy meeting.

Expectations of an increase have risen following hawkish commentary from several members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) last week, including Williams.

Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart and Williams both believe a hike during the scheduled April 26-27 review is warranted, while St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said "the next rate increase may not be far off."

The comments spooked Wall Street however, as it contradicted Fed Chair Janet Yellen's dovish-sounding statement earlier in March.

When asked about the mixed policy messages, Williams insisted that the FOMC was united in its vision.

"I would say there's broad agreement on the committee that our basic strategy, which is to gradually remove policy accommodation and raise interest rates over the next couple of years, has strong support. The real question is when we should raise rates, what pace we should raise rates. That's going to be driven by the data so we'll have to wait and see."

Markets will now be paying close attention to Yellen's speech at the Economic Club of New York on Tuesday as well as Fed Vice-Chair William Dudley's address on Thursday for further hints on the central bank's outlook.

Friday's employment report will also be scrutinized for proof of the economic recovery. Societe Generale (Euronext Paris: GLE-FR) expects at least 24,900 jobs were created in March, which would mark an improvement from February's 24,200.

Clarification: This article has been updated since first published to show that Williams is not a voting member of the FOMC.

1 則留言:

  1. 美國現在失業率只是4.9%, 只是大多都是低薪工作, 人們賺不夠多, 少洗錢, 通脹就不會拉高. 所以, 美國沒有可能狂加息, 除非有突發的供求失衡吧!

    美國通脹要升高過2%, 這5年內都不會有可能, 加息就只會是用來調控其他方面, 也不會加得多.

    回覆刪除