www.zerohedge.com
Overnight a historic event took place when China, the world's top
gold consumer, launched a yuan-denominated gold benchmark as had been
previewed here previously, in what Reuters dubbed "an ambitious step to exert more control over the pricing of the metal and boost its influence in the global bullion market."
Considering the now officially-confirmed rigging of the gold and silver
fix courtesy of last week's Deutsche Bank settlement, this is hardly
bad news and may finally lead to some rigging cartel and central
bank-free price discovery. Or it may not, because China would enjoy
nothing more than continuing to accumulate gold at lower prices.
The first Chinese benchmark price, derived from a 1 kg-contract traded by 18 participants on the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE), was set at 256.92 yuan ($39.69) per gram on Tuesday, equivalent to $1,234.50/ounce.
China's gold benchmark is the culmination of efforts by China over
the last few years to reform its domestic gold market in a bid to have a
bigger say in the bullion industry, long dominated by London where the
global spot benchmark price is currently set. As is well known, as the
world's top producer, importer and consumer of gold, China has balked at
having to depend on a dollar price in international transactions, and
believes its market weight should entitle it to set the price of gold.
The new benchmark may not be an immediate threat to London, but industry
players say over time China could set the price of the metal,
especially if the yuan become fully convertible.
Cited by Reuters, Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor of the People's Bank
of China which has been disclosing gold purchases every month since
last summer, said that "the Shanghai gold benchmark will provide
a fair and tradable yuan-denominated gold fix price ... will help
improve yuan pricing mechanism and promote internationalization of the
Chinese gold market."
The mechanics of the Shanghai fix are comparable to those of London:
the benchmark price will be set twice a day based on a few minutes of
trading in each session. The London benchmark, quoted in dollars per
ounce, is set via a twice-daily auction on an electronic platform with
12 participants.
The 18 trading members in the yuan price-setting process includes
China's big four state-owned banks, foreign banks Standard Chartered and
ANZ, the world's top jewelry retailer Chow Tai Fook and two of China's
top gold miners.
When discussing the Chinese gold fix previously, World Gold Council
CEO Aram Shishmanian said that "it is a stepping stone to a new
multi-axis trading market consisting of London, New York and Shanghai
and signals the continuing shift in demand from West to East."
"As the market expands to reflect the growing interest in gold by
Chinese consumers, so too will China's influence increase on the global
gold market."
It may already be working: according to Reuters, one reason for today's spike in silver is due to "heavy
buying of silver in Shanghai, and that has triggered buying in gold as
well," said Ronald Leung, chief dealer at Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in
Hong Kong.
Finally, when
Chinese capital capital flight into Canadian real estate and offshore
tax havens is curbed, we expected that gold could well follow the path
of bitcoin, which has doubled since our article presenting it as an attractive alternative to avoiding Chinese capital controls.
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