2016年4月4日 星期一

Robert Kiyosaki And Harry Dent Warn That Financial Armageddon Is Imminent

富爸爸的書好多人都睇過, 而俾佢在投資路上影響的人都唔少, 不過選釋去信某百萬 blogger 的人多過信佢, 真是非解 !  可能好多人還是在相信世上有神話吧 !

www.silverdoctors.com

Submitted by Michael Snyder:

Financial experts Robert Kiyosaki and Harry Dent are both warning that the next major economic crash is in our very near future.  Dent is projecting that the Dow will fall to “5,500 to 6,000 by late 2017″, and Kiyosaki actually originally projected that a great crash was coming in 2016 all the way back in 2002.  Of course we don’t exactly have to wait for things to get bad.  The truth is that things are not really very good at the moment by any stretch of the imagination.  Approximately one-third of all Americans don’t make enough money to even cover the basic necessities, 23 percent of adults in their prime working years are not employed, and corporate debt defaults have exploded to the highest level that we have seen since the last financial crisisBut if Kiyosaki and Dent are correct, economic conditions in this country will soon get much, much worse than this.

During a recent interview, Harry Dent really went out on a limb by staking his entire reputation on a prediction that we would experience “the biggest global bubble burst in history” within the next four years…

There will be… and I will stake my entire reputation on this… we are going to see the biggest global bubble burst in history in the next four years…
There’s only one way out of this bubble and that is for it to burst… all this stuff is going to reset back to where it should be without all this endless debt, endless printed money, stimulus and zero interest rate policy.

And of course he is far from alone.  Without a doubt, we are currently in the terminal phases of the greatest financial bubble the world has ever known, and it is exceedingly difficult to see any way that it will not end very, very badly.

Ultimately, Dent believes that we could see U.S. stocks lose two-thirds of their value by late next year

The Dow, I’m projecting, will hit 5,500 to 6,000 by late 2017… just in the next year and a half or so. 
That’ll be most of the damage… then it will rally and there’ll be some aftershocks into 2020… my four cycles point down into early 2020 and then they start one after the other to turn up… I think the worst will be over by 2020, but the worst of that will be by the end of 2017.

If that does happen, it will be a far worse crash than what we experienced back in 2008, and the economic consequences will be absolutely terrifying.
Another highly respected financial expert that is making similar claims is Robert Kiyosaki.  My wife is a big fan of his books, and I have always held him in high regard.

But what I didn’t realize is that he had actually predicted that there would be a major financial crash all the way back in 2002

Fourteen years ago, the author of a series of popular personal-finance books predicted that 2016 would bring about the worst market crash in history, damaging the financial dreams of millions of baby boomers just as they started to depend on that money to fund retirement.
Broader U.S. stock markets are recovering from the worst 10-day start to a year on record. But Robert Kiyosaki — who made that 2016 forecast in the 2002 book “Rich Dad’s Prophecy” — says the meltdown is under way, and there’s little investors can do but buy gold or silver and hope the Federal Reserve slows the slide.
I agree with Kiyosaki that one way that investors can shield their wealth is by getting gold and silver.  In a recent article, I explained exactly why I believe that silver in particular is ridiculously undervalued right now.

Kiyosaki also believes that the coming crash could be delayed a bit if the Federal Reserve decided to embark on another round of quantitative easing.  But even if that happens, Kiyosaki is absolutely convinced that eventually “it’s all going to come down”

Kiyosaki told MarketWatch that the combination of demographics and global economic weakness makes the next crash inevitable — but the Fed could stave it off with another round of quantitative easing, which might stimulate the economy.
The Fed turned more dovish at its March meeting, with the central bank penciling in fewer interest-rate hikes this year than were previously part of its implied framework. The Fed signaled those hikes would happen more slowly than had been anticipated earlier, owing to a weak global economic environment and a volatile stock market.
“The big question [whether] we do ‘QE4,’” said Kiyosaki. “If we do, the stock market will come roaring back, but it’s not rocket science. If we stop printing money, it crashes; if we print money, it goes up. But, eventually, it’s all going to come down.”

Another voice that I have come to respect is Jim Rickards.  He is not quite as apocalyptic as Kiyosaki or Dent, but without a doubt he is deeply concerned about where the global economy is headed…

Global growth is slowing both because of weakness in developed economies like Europe and Japan, and weakness in some of the emerging markets champions such as China, Brazil and Russia. The limits of monetary policy have been reached.
The evidence is now clear that negative interest rates don’t stimulate spending; they are only good for devaluation in the ongoing currency wars. World trade is shrinking; a rare phenomenon usually associated with recession or depression.

And he is exactly right.  The economic downturn that we are witnessing is truly global in scope.  Brazil has plunged into an economic depression, the Italian banking system is in the process of completely melting down, and Japan has implemented negative interest rates in a desperate attempt to keep their Ponzi scheme going but it really isn’t working.  In fact, Japanese industrial production just crashed by the most that we have seen since the tsunami of 2011.

Here in the United States, investors are generally feeling pretty good right now because stocks have rebounded substantially in recent weeks.  However, Rickards is warning that this rebound is very temporary

Stocks are clearly in a bubble. The stock market is ignoring the strong dollar, which in turn hurts exports and devalues overseas earnings. It is also ignoring declining corporate earnings,imminent defaults in the energy sector, and declining global growth in general.
Never mind. As long as money is cheap and leverage is plentiful, there’s no reason not to bid up stock prices, and wait for the greater fool to bid them up some more.

There is so much that we could learn from all these three men.

Sadly, just like we saw in 2008, most Americans are ignoring the warnings.
The mainstream media has conditioned the public to trust them, and right now the mainstream media is insisting that everything is going to be just fine.

So will everything be just fine as the months roll along?

AGXIIK says:
It looks like Kiyosaki and Dent have been getting my emails.   As for the 4 years?  Harry!   This year!   Wake up!.

What they don’t discuss or note is that far more than the Average Joes and Janes, it’ll be the public pension plans, invested to the gunnels with toxic HY garbage, IPO No-Go’s with zero liquidity and zero value and trillions in BBB- with negative outlook bonds and the riskiest of stocks.

They don’t cover the private pensions, invested with a tad more expertise, but filled with much of the same garbage plus CDOs, subprime bonds and other sludge as they struggle for yield.

What they also do not cover the the fact that every central bank is equally filled with garbage of the worst sort along with speculative stocks that will drop by 50-75% within months  Central banks are all leveraged 95 to 1 or higher.  The only hope the TBTF and CBs have is they can save themselves with bail-ins and confiscation of financial assets like retirement plans.

When the dam holding back this continent-sized  cess pool of toilet paper and digestive track byproducts breaks, it will destroy every institution, every bank, every pension plan and every hope and dream every person on this planet who still have a scintilla of faith in the system. You can either believe in the official (offal) party line and stand in line for a soup bowl of hope. Ir you can break with the official Matrix central MOPE and GOTS!

The crunch will represent a ‘Noah and his ark’ level of devastation.  Any one on level ground will be swept away in the deluge.  I guess I’ll say it, and it should not need to be said again but if you have a stack you might be able to stand on top of it to keep your head above water   Or something to that effect.

Kiyasaki has been going ‘all in’ into physical precious metals for 3 years I doubt if he complains he bought silver at $33 or gold at $1,500.

4 則留言:

  1. 我一直有睇開Robert Kiyosaki 同Mike maloney 既書同Video..Mike maloney係個cycle investor..佢用100年Dow gold ratio 同金銀樓價ratio 既Trend黎指出依家正處於金銀outperform 股樓既cycle。佢亦提到不同歷史事年同依家美國既情況 令我相信未來會陷入通縮,而世界財富會轉移到持有大量實金實銀既人,我唔用投資者呢個字因為金銀唔係投資而係金錢。我自己超過8成既資產係金銀。

    其實我覺得令財當極訢增長既投資配置係由2000年用低息貸款買投收租物業,依家賣投資物業買實銀。咁就可以充分利用低息將財富最大化,我相信好多超級富豪都係咁利用緊D政策同之前講既cycle.

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  2. 我就無呢個膽量, 賣投資物業全買實銀, 都唔知要點樣收藏 @_@
    依家實金+實銀都只是流動資金的40%, 手上還有現金, 因為唔想把自已推去牆角無得走位 !

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  3. 都係..計番係2000年或2008年開始買棲既依家都差唔多40以上,都要有 passive income退休,而且幾時金銀購買力爆升都唔知。

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  4. 所以要分散投資比較安全, 保持投資物業可以賺現金流來生活 :)

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