kingworldnews.com
Today top trends forecaster Gerald Celente just that the next 8 days may change the world forever.
Gerald Celente: Direct
Democracy referendums, a staple in Switzerland – one of the wealthiest,
most democratic, least violent, most market-oriented countries in the
world – in which the public, not politicians, vote on high-profile
issues… has gone British…
Gerald Celente continues: Next
Thursday, United Kingdom citizens will vote whether to stay in or exit
(Brexit) the European Union. In the run-up to the referendum, world
equity markets swoon and sway with polls that fluctuate between “Remain”
or “Leave.”
With the latest TNS poll showing 47 percent of likely voters opting to leave vs. 40 percent wanting to stay, business media and financial pundits blame the prospects of a Brexit for rattling stock markets and pushing gold prices higher.
Are the markets overreacting?
Initially,
should the “leave” vote win, we forecast the US dollar and gold
prices
will spike while equity markets, particularly those currently under
downward pressure, will sink deeply lower.
In
addition, while the UK is the world’s fifth-largest economy and its
gross domestic value represents some 5 percent of the world economy,
should it leave the EU, we forecast, for the long term, it will be
business as usual throughout most of the continent. Moreover, as
nationalism sentiments rise, so too will growing prospects for
increasing domestic consumption of “Made in UK” products as the nation
and its people embrace one of our Top Trends of 2016, “Self-Sustainability.”
On
the broader socioeconomic and political scale, with anti-immigration
and anti-EU populism movements rapidly spreading throughout Europe,
should British citizens vote to exit, we forecast similar Direct
Democracy referendums igniting across the continent to leave the EU…
swiftly leading to the dissolution of Brussels’ central government
control, elimination of the euro and a return to national currencies.
However,
should the “remain” claim victory, while the populism anti-EU trend
will steadily grow, it will not spontaneously combust a continent-wide
revolt against euro zone and/or euro group control and currency.
Bigger than Britain
While
the loudest word on The Street is the fear that if Britain votes to
leave the EU, the bloc could slip into recession, the current trend line
is bigger than a Brexit. Indeed, last Thursday, even European Central
Bank President Mario Draghi widened fears of recession beyond the UK
vote, warning that the “economic recovery in the euro area continues to
be dampened by subdued growth prospects in emerging markets.”
Whether
emerging markets or developed ones, from China to Brazil, from the
United States to Japan – imports, exports, GDP, jobs, retail sales,
commodity prices, the Purchasing Managers’ Index, the ISM Manufacturing
Index, etc.– the numbers range from miserable to terrible as nations’
economies across the globe stagnate, recede or depress.
Trend Forecast:
We forecast continued global economic deterioration and high equity-market volatility.
Also, with low investor expectations for central banks to re-ignite
stagnant and/or declining economies despite current negative/zero/low
interest-rate policy, we forecast gold will pierce $1,300 per
ounce. Should gold move strongly above $1,400 per ounce, we forecast a
sharp spike to $2,000.
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