Will Saudi Arabia Allow The U.S. Oil Boom?

呢篇文章說美國油出產的情況, 因為太長, 所以無全貼過來, 只貼最重要個段 :

問: 美國可否跟沙特阿拉伯競爭 ?

答: 當然可以, 只要沙特阿拉伯容許, 因為沙特阿拉伯可以輕易把油大量推出市場壓低油價去到50美元或更低, 到時美國產油公司就會倒閉 ! 最好就是, 就算美國可以自給自足, 沙特阿拉伯的油還可以運去中國和其他亞洲市場, 因為佢地的原油需要在增長中 !

www.zerohedge.com全文

Oilprice.com: Can the US really compete with Saudi Arabia in terms of production?

Chris Faulkner: Sure, just as long as the Saudis will allow it. Don’t forget the Kingdom is still the world’s swing supplier, a role it’s held since the late 1970s. It’s important to remember that the Saudis not only have the largest proved reserves of oil, it’s also the largest repository—by far—of low-cost oil reserves. Much of Canada’s oil sands and US tight oil requires $75 per barrel or more to be economically viable. Saudi Arabia also needs $75 per barrel, but that’s to support its current domestic budget. The Kingdom’s lifting costs are somewhere around $5 at last report. So Saudi Arabia could easily flood the market, as it did in the early ‘80s, if it lost too much market share, dropping oil prices to $50 or less, and US drilling and production would collapse. Ideally, growing demand from China and other Asian markets will help sustain Saudi production levels and oil prices even as the Americas become self-sufficient in oil.