www.armstrongeconomics.com
QUESTION:
Marty; The Global Market Watch on gold has been really something on the
investor level. Can’t wait for the trader level. I believe your staff
said that will have the daily and weekly levels also. I find it
fascinating how the computer called the low in gold and then said
turning back up and all the fundamental nonsense people talk about did
not matter. I noticed gold rallied for the monthly closing but still did
not get through your key number. You have saved me a fortune listening
to those goldbugs who are always long and never say sell.
You have said that gold and the Dow will rise together because that
will signal the real crisis is starting. You have said the monetary
crisis could come as early as 2018 but by 2020 is the ideal target and
2023 the latest. Has this changed?
Thank you
PW
ANSWER:
It is encouraging that gold has held on to its gains with a rising
dollar and the Dow. True, we did not take out the Monthly Bullish
Reversal today. This leaves the door still open for a slingshot move in
2017. That would be the most powerful pattern we could develop and it
would be the most confusing. Keep in mind that the timing window is
starting to close.
As for 2018, the BREXIT has turned the tables. We may yet see Trump
win in November. That would most likely be very positive for the dollar
since as we see the Refugee Crisis explode in Europe, the Eastern
members are turning more to Trump and support his policies. If he wins
and does enact the tax reform, expect a huge burst of returning capital
to the USA. This may combine with the crisis politically emerging next
year in Europe as we face elections in France and Germany.
A strong dollar will send capital this way.
This is my personal goal. The computer will replace me and it will be
far better for it will not leave anything out of its analysis. The gold
promoters are as bad as the IMF people. They do not understand
monetary/currency theory.
Let’s see the Global Market Watch update now that July has concluded.
Remember, that last entry is dynamic. It bases the pattern up to that
last day as if that was the conclusion of that particular time interval.
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