kingworldnews.com
Today James Turk told King World News that gold is very close to beginning a move that will take the ‘Metal of King’ smashing through the $2,000 level. Turk was even more outspoken on where silver is headed and included a chart. Turk, who was interviewed out of Spain, had this to say about where gold and silver are headed in coming weeks: “The logical question here, Eric, is after the big week we had last week, will silver drop back to give buyers one more chance to buy the dip? A dip is logical given silver’s 6.5% gain last week. On the other hand, as we noted in the last blog we did, sometimes the dips can be very shallow.”
James Turk continues:
“The important point to keep in mind is while silver may look high compared to where it started the month, to me silver looks cheap compared to its upside potential over the next few months. So don’t wait for a big pullback to buy. If today is the day where you purchase silver each month, go ahead and make the buy. Don’t try to time the market.
This following weekly silver chart is really looking very powerful and as I have been saying, once silver hurdles above $35, I expect to see $68-$70 in 2-to-3 months.
“There is, of course, no guarantee that silver will successfully hurdle $35 on its first attempt, but we need to get ready just in case it does. By ‘get ready,’ I mean we have to prepare ourselves mentally - to eliminate the emotion and watch what silver is telling us. This can be very hard to do, but it is essential. Otherwise you will miss the big moves, and it is riding these big moves to the fullest extent possible, from start to finish, where the big money is made.
Regarding gold, I don’t think people realize that gold could explode from current levels. I think the potential for explosion is there and what you are going to see is not only silver on the move, but you will also see gold smash through the $2,000 level.”
When asked what’s happening in Europe, Turk responded, “It looks like Greece is ready to blow up, Eric. The Greeks have rejected German-led calls for the EU to start managing Greek government finances. That would mean the complete loss of Greek sovereignty, so the Greek finance minister obviously rejected that dictate.
Consequently, it looks like Greece is not going to get its next bailout, meaning it will default. But there’s a lot of other bad news in Europe as well. Spain is in a depression with its youth unemployment rate now over 50%. France just raised the VAT (Value Added Tax) to 21%. Imagine, Eric, paying 21% to the government for everything you purchase.
This is why the underground economy is so large and growing in Europe because people need to survive. Across the channel, the UK is sliding into what looks like a deep recession.
To make things even worse, on the other side of the Atlantic, the Federal Reserve announced they are going to destroy savers by keeping interest rates below the inflation rate for another two years. It is really tragic, Eric, how governments are destroying capitalism, but as Ludwig von Mises warned us, governments will destroy free markets and economic activity long before they understand how they work.”
2012年1月31日 星期二
官媒：不能讓投資市場掠奪民眾
文匯報
香港文匯報訊 《人民日報》報道，內地不少投資股市、基金、理財產品的民眾，在市場漲跌之中，財富卻被一大口咬掉。因此，有必要進一步加強市場秩序的建設，絕對不能讓投資市場掠奪普通民眾的財富。
香港文匯報訊 《人民日報》報道，內地不少投資股市、基金、理財產品的民眾，在市場漲跌之中，財富卻被一大口咬掉。因此，有必要進一步加強市場秩序的建設，絕對不能讓投資市場掠奪普通民眾的財富。
大多投資者在心理上可以接受自己能力不濟、運氣不佳帶來的經濟損失，比如投資黃金白銀市場虧損的客 戶，大多是在反思自己的投資策略。但另一方面，投資者非常難以面對市場秩序混亂、監管漏洞、法律缺位帶來的財富災難。因此，從管理者的角度來看，有必要進 一步加強市場秩序的建設。近幾個月，證監會監管風暴升級，共打擊了幾十宗違法違規案件，讓不少投資者拍手叫好。
因此，對內幕交易、利益輸送和市場操縱等「從民眾口袋裡偷錢」的行為處以重罰，對創業板套現熱和 理財產品亂象給予合理的制度規範，已是當務之急。絕對不能讓投資市場成為獵殺普通民眾財富的叢林，只有給予投資者一個公平有序的市場環境，才能避免財富兩 極分化，才能讓經濟可持續發展。
2012年1月30日 星期一
War, Bank Runs, Riots & Gold Going Mainstream
kingworldnews.com
With news from the Fed causing tremendous upside action in gold this week, and reports coming in from Los Angeles describing a massive military exercise in the streets of Los Angeles, today King World News interviewed Gerald Celente, Founder of Trends Research and the man many consider to be the top trends forecaster in the world. Celente had this to say about the Fed announcement and subsequent press conference: “You can see what’s happened to gold prices and how they’ve spiked up. There’s no way out and it’s not only the Federal Reserve, it’s also the European Monetary Union. Look at the games they are playing. We just saw, at the end of 2011, the ECB giving away some $600 billion in loans to banks at virtually no interest rate so they could buy up the bonds of Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece and Ireland. Nobody wants to touch these bonds.”
Gerald Celente continues:
“Look at what’s going on all over the world, there’s no way out of this. What they are doing by keeping interest rates low, through 2014, my God, this should be headline news, the raping of the American public. So this is a collapse in the making, right in front of everyone and gold prices and silver prices don’t lie, they’re reflecting it.”
When asked if Jim Sinclair’s statements that mainstream companies like GE, tech companies and others would enter the gold market, if this was a new trend, Celente responded, “I believe so. I believe a lot of people are going to move into gold. It’s going to go mainstream and it’s going to continue to go mainstream as you see more bank runs and riots....
Celente had this to say about urban military training in civilian areas of Los Angeles: “Wasn’t it on New Year’s Eve, when you were trying to celebrate, that Obama signed into law the National Defense Authorization Act? So when I say fascists, it’s right there in front of you. It’s the ‘No Bill of Rights.’
They could take anybody out there that disagrees with the government, call them a ‘belligerent of the state’ and the military could come and take them away with no charges. No judge, no jury, no trial and Jack you’re dead. I’m saying, Eric, I believe they are instituting Battlefield America in this country and others as the system collapses.
(We’ve been talking about) Economic Martial Law and now you have the military in control, to make sure it doesn’t get out of control. Think about what would happen with a bank holiday. The systems are in place to keep the people in place. So I believe they are putting in Martial Law to support Economic Martial Law.
With the National Defense Authorization Act they repealed the 1878 the Posse Comitatus Act, which used to prevent the military from taking over police duties. This is against the Constitution in every manner possible.”
Celente also issued this warning regarding the State of the Union Address: “If I were to ask everybody, how did this speech start and how did it end? Most people won’t remember. But I can tell you how it started, it started with war and he ends it with war. He starts talking about Iran, the President is prepping the people for war. He began it with war, his State of the Union Address, and he ended it with war. Get ready for war.”
With news from the Fed causing tremendous upside action in gold this week, and reports coming in from Los Angeles describing a massive military exercise in the streets of Los Angeles, today King World News interviewed Gerald Celente, Founder of Trends Research and the man many consider to be the top trends forecaster in the world. Celente had this to say about the Fed announcement and subsequent press conference: “You can see what’s happened to gold prices and how they’ve spiked up. There’s no way out and it’s not only the Federal Reserve, it’s also the European Monetary Union. Look at the games they are playing. We just saw, at the end of 2011, the ECB giving away some $600 billion in loans to banks at virtually no interest rate so they could buy up the bonds of Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece and Ireland. Nobody wants to touch these bonds.”
Gerald Celente continues:
“Look at what’s going on all over the world, there’s no way out of this. What they are doing by keeping interest rates low, through 2014, my God, this should be headline news, the raping of the American public. So this is a collapse in the making, right in front of everyone and gold prices and silver prices don’t lie, they’re reflecting it.”
When asked if Jim Sinclair’s statements that mainstream companies like GE, tech companies and others would enter the gold market, if this was a new trend, Celente responded, “I believe so. I believe a lot of people are going to move into gold. It’s going to go mainstream and it’s going to continue to go mainstream as you see more bank runs and riots....
Celente had this to say about urban military training in civilian areas of Los Angeles: “Wasn’t it on New Year’s Eve, when you were trying to celebrate, that Obama signed into law the National Defense Authorization Act? So when I say fascists, it’s right there in front of you. It’s the ‘No Bill of Rights.’
They could take anybody out there that disagrees with the government, call them a ‘belligerent of the state’ and the military could come and take them away with no charges. No judge, no jury, no trial and Jack you’re dead. I’m saying, Eric, I believe they are instituting Battlefield America in this country and others as the system collapses.
(We’ve been talking about) Economic Martial Law and now you have the military in control, to make sure it doesn’t get out of control. Think about what would happen with a bank holiday. The systems are in place to keep the people in place. So I believe they are putting in Martial Law to support Economic Martial Law.
With the National Defense Authorization Act they repealed the 1878 the Posse Comitatus Act, which used to prevent the military from taking over police duties. This is against the Constitution in every manner possible.”
Celente also issued this warning regarding the State of the Union Address: “If I were to ask everybody, how did this speech start and how did it end? Most people won’t remember. But I can tell you how it started, it started with war and he ends it with war. He starts talking about Iran, the President is prepping the people for war. He began it with war, his State of the Union Address, and he ended it with war. Get ready for war.”
愛帶食物赴澳華客不知違例
東方日報
【本報綜合報道】澳洲開恩茲機場上周從大批中國旅客的行李，搜獲數以百公斤計違反生物保安法的物品，並載滿五個垃圾箱，包括豬腳、冬蟲夏草、鴨蛋及燕窩等。當局表示，多數中國旅客都不知道有關法例，顯示有需要在國際間宣傳生物安全法。
機場生物安全官員史密斯表示，上周農曆新年假期開始後，大批中國旅客抵達澳洲，但均被發現違反當局的生物安全法，攜帶大量食物入境，包括蔬果、果仁、雞腳、雞內臟及豬肉。有人更帶有冬蟲夏草、燕窩及一隻仍然溫暖的熟鴨。
【本報綜合報道】澳洲開恩茲機場上周從大批中國旅客的行李，搜獲數以百公斤計違反生物保安法的物品，並載滿五個垃圾箱，包括豬腳、冬蟲夏草、鴨蛋及燕窩等。當局表示，多數中國旅客都不知道有關法例，顯示有需要在國際間宣傳生物安全法。
機場生物安全官員史密斯表示，上周農曆新年假期開始後，大批中國旅客抵達澳洲，但均被發現違反當局的生物安全法，攜帶大量食物入境，包括蔬果、果仁、雞腳、雞內臟及豬肉。有人更帶有冬蟲夏草、燕窩及一隻仍然溫暖的熟鴨。
史密斯稱：「每個旅客都有某些物件需要申報。」當局為此在機場安排翻譯員，以向中國旅客解釋這些違規物件不能入境，但發現大部分人都對有關法例不知情。當局預料更多中國旅客將於近日入境，違規物品可再填滿三個垃圾箱。
騙黨奇招道具抵押詐財
東方日報
【記者鄭華坤】借錢借手機黨詐騙手法層出不窮，除假扮遊客訛稱「冇港紙」或「手機冇電」外，更出動「提款卡」及「利是」等道具作抵押，令受害人信以為有借 有還，一名女騙徒去年底在屯門以一張假銀行卡作抵押，騙得一名少女借出二千元財物；另有男騙徒在沙田訛稱希望以人民幣兌換港幣，但因「攞唔切錢」，以「利 是」作抵押，成功騙去一名老伯六百元，當老伯打開利是一看，竟發現是一張五百元陰司紙。
【記者鄭華坤】借錢借手機黨詐騙手法層出不窮，除假扮遊客訛稱「冇港紙」或「手機冇電」外，更出動「提款卡」及「利是」等道具作抵押，令受害人信以為有借 有還，一名女騙徒去年底在屯門以一張假銀行卡作抵押，騙得一名少女借出二千元財物；另有男騙徒在沙田訛稱希望以人民幣兌換港幣，但因「攞唔切錢」，以「利 是」作抵押，成功騙去一名老伯六百元，當老伯打開利是一看，竟發現是一張五百元陰司紙。
警方去年接獲一百零二宗街頭騙案，較前年大幅上升六成五，其中寶藥黨勁升逾兩倍，祈福黨上升近一點四倍，借錢借手機黨亦上升近九成。
最細受害人僅九歲
警 方商業罪案調查科總督察孔慶勳表示，借錢借手機騙徒通常假扮遊客，訛稱無現金或手機無電，博取受害人同情，最細的受害人年僅九歲，而最新的犯案手法是出動 道具作抵押。去年十一月，內地女騙徒向廿多歲的女事主借錢及借手機，總值約二千元，並以一張偽造銀行卡作抵押，幸被巡警撞破，女騙徒被警方落案檢控，警方 不排除她涉及多宗同類案件。
去年一月一名內地男騙徒在沙田向一名老伯訛稱，可用優惠兌換率兌換港幣，但因「攞唔切錢」，要求老伯先借出六百港元，並以一封利是作抵押，但當老伯打開一看，竟發現是五百元陰司紙。
分工精細兼有劇本
另外，祈福黨騙案急升一點四倍，孔表示，騙徒甚有組織性，除有「劇本」外，每次出動五至六人，有男有女，男的負責「睇水」，女的分演不同角色，為防被銀行職員識破，騙徒不再要求受害人到銀行提款，而是在周日及假期犯案，要求對方拿出金器及現金祈福。
商罪科偵緝高級督察簡志韶表示，騙徒會預備兩個環保袋，一個擺放事主財物，一個放滿生果，當祈福完畢，會將放生果那一袋交給事主，吩咐七日內不能打開，因案發地點往往十分偏僻，一般無閉路電視令警方難以追查，一名六十九歲老婦去年九月在將軍澳被騙去六十多萬元金器及現金。
2012年1月29日 星期日
曾蔭權談歐債「從未如此驚慌」
星島日報
| 2012-01-29 (08:45) | ||
曾蔭權與各國代表分享自己從政40多年，主理財金事務的經驗。對於歐債危機，他坦言：「從未感到如此驚慌。」 曾蔭權又重提自己當年應對亞洲金融風暴時，入市購股票的行動，促請歐美政府果斷行動。他還提到要協助基層市民，確保他們生活穩定，起碼付得起電費。 與曾蔭權同場的，包括國際貨幣基金組織總裁拉加德、英國財長歐思邦和日本財務大臣安住淳等，席間各人都談及如何應對歐債危機。 |
2012年1月28日 星期六
2012年1月27日 星期五
2012年1月26日 星期四
創興客戶保險箱失 10萬金飾
蘋果日報
【記者伍雅謙報道】將貴重物品放入保險箱，無非想財物安穩存放。有創興銀行保險箱客戶，開箱竟發現不見了數件價值逾 10萬元金飾，包括一件流傳數代的傳家之寶，質疑保安系統有漏洞，已報警並擬透過民事索償追討。
梁女士於 03年起與胞妹聯名在創興銀行位於彌敦道分行開設保險箱，存放逾廿件金飾，包括頸鏈、手鐲及戒指。前年 4月她倆一同查看保險箱，發現部份金粒及刻有名字的首飾不翼而飛，「其中一條金鏈係太嫲嗰代留落嚟，傳咗幾代，好有紀念價值」。
梁女士認為銀行疏忽導致失竊，已報警並向金管局投訴。創興銀行回覆本報指已將調查結果告知梁女士，並無任何補充。根據梁女士提供的銀行信函，該行指翻查保險箱出入紀錄等資料，未發現程序疏忽或出錯。
銀行稱沒持有鎖匙
該行稱，租戶開立保險箱時獲發兩條鎖匙，該行並無持有租戶保管的鎖匙。根據該行《保管箱章則》，租戶須自己承擔風險。
金融管理局現正跟進個案，過去兩年共接獲 5宗銀行保險箱投訴。惟該局指受《銀行業條例》的保密條文所限，不評論事件。
保險箱鎖匙經專門配製，坊間不易配得。香港銀行業僱員協會主席李麗貞指：「要客戶連同銀行持有嘅公匙，先可以開到，客戶遺失鎖匙就要爆箱」。她表示銀行一般會在保險庫出入口設置閉路電視，但基於私隱，保險庫內未必會有。
城市大學經濟及財務系副教授李鉅威指出，除非有證據證明銀行疏忽，否則客戶需自行承擔風險，「銀行唔會知道你放乜落保險箱，好難一話有嘢唔見就賠」。律師黃國桐表示，若客戶證明財物確是放在保險箱後失竊，銀行即使設有免責條款，也應作賠償，「可以影低相證明放過乜嘢入保險箱」。 04年星展銀行誤將 83個客戶正使用的保險箱當廢鐵銷毀，最終賠償道歉。
近年銀行保險箱事故
10年 4月
創興銀行旺角分行保險箱客戶投訴失 10萬元金飾
09年 3月
東亞銀行旺角行分被四名哥倫比亞大盜竊保險箱千萬元財物
09年 2月
恒生銀行荃灣分行保險箱客戶投訴失 60萬元金飾
09年 1月
交通銀行九龍分行保險箱客戶投訴遺失 12萬金飾
04年 10月
星展銀行誤將客戶放有財物的保險箱當廢鐵銷毀
資料來源：《蘋果》資料室
【記者伍雅謙報道】將貴重物品放入保險箱，無非想財物安穩存放。有創興銀行保險箱客戶，開箱竟發現不見了數件價值逾 10萬元金飾，包括一件流傳數代的傳家之寶，質疑保安系統有漏洞，已報警並擬透過民事索償追討。
梁女士於 03年起與胞妹聯名在創興銀行位於彌敦道分行開設保險箱，存放逾廿件金飾，包括頸鏈、手鐲及戒指。前年 4月她倆一同查看保險箱，發現部份金粒及刻有名字的首飾不翼而飛，「其中一條金鏈係太嫲嗰代留落嚟，傳咗幾代，好有紀念價值」。
梁女士認為銀行疏忽導致失竊，已報警並向金管局投訴。創興銀行回覆本報指已將調查結果告知梁女士，並無任何補充。根據梁女士提供的銀行信函，該行指翻查保險箱出入紀錄等資料，未發現程序疏忽或出錯。
銀行稱沒持有鎖匙
該行稱，租戶開立保險箱時獲發兩條鎖匙，該行並無持有租戶保管的鎖匙。根據該行《保管箱章則》，租戶須自己承擔風險。
金融管理局現正跟進個案，過去兩年共接獲 5宗銀行保險箱投訴。惟該局指受《銀行業條例》的保密條文所限，不評論事件。
保險箱鎖匙經專門配製，坊間不易配得。香港銀行業僱員協會主席李麗貞指：「要客戶連同銀行持有嘅公匙，先可以開到，客戶遺失鎖匙就要爆箱」。她表示銀行一般會在保險庫出入口設置閉路電視，但基於私隱，保險庫內未必會有。
城市大學經濟及財務系副教授李鉅威指出，除非有證據證明銀行疏忽，否則客戶需自行承擔風險，「銀行唔會知道你放乜落保險箱，好難一話有嘢唔見就賠」。律師黃國桐表示，若客戶證明財物確是放在保險箱後失竊，銀行即使設有免責條款，也應作賠償，「可以影低相證明放過乜嘢入保險箱」。 04年星展銀行誤將 83個客戶正使用的保險箱當廢鐵銷毀，最終賠償道歉。
近年銀行保險箱事故
10年 4月
創興銀行旺角分行保險箱客戶投訴失 10萬元金飾
09年 3月
東亞銀行旺角行分被四名哥倫比亞大盜竊保險箱千萬元財物
09年 2月
恒生銀行荃灣分行保險箱客戶投訴失 60萬元金飾
09年 1月
交通銀行九龍分行保險箱客戶投訴遺失 12萬金飾
04年 10月
星展銀行誤將客戶放有財物的保險箱當廢鐵銷毀
資料來源：《蘋果》資料室
2012年1月25日 星期三
Gold Triangle Presents Breakout Opportunity
睇好睇淡, 慳返口水, 因為好快就會知, 金價是上是落 ?
www.dailyfx.com
As traders wait on the sidelines for the next round of news, and rumors from Europe, the Daily Chart on Gold has settled in to a Triangle that presents a compelling breakout opportunity for traders.
After displaying one of the more pervasive trending moves since 2001, the ‘Yellow Metal,’ has faced some difficult times since peaking at 1920 in September of 2011.
One of the primary winds in the sail of Gold for 2010, leading into 2011 was the process of Quantitative Easing brought on by the US FOMC. Quantitative Easing, or ‘QE,’ as it has been dubbed, is the process by which a Central Bank will buy assets from smaller banks, or other financial institutions – with newly created money.
Think about the relationship with the quote in the chart above; XAU/USD.
The US Dollar – as the denominator, will generally weaken if all factors are equal and new US Dollars are being created. In the equation of XAU/USD – the denominator of USD essentially gets smaller as these new dollars are created. So the rise in Gold accompanying QE comes as no surprise.
What may be surprising is the brutal response in September that took the price of Gold below 1550. Since that point, Gold has maintained a relatively smooth trend line leading directly into the triangle with which we are now faced.
Breakouts can generally take place in any direction, and this opportunity on Gold is no different. The future move that trader’s may be looking to capitalize on here could very well be brought on by a yet unknown news announcement, or surprise event.
Next week can be a fun time in financial markets; but it may also be painful if we’re caught on the wrong side of a move.
Remember – trading opportunities are infinite, trading capital is not.
--- Written by James B. Stanley
www.dailyfx.com
As traders wait on the sidelines for the next round of news, and rumors from Europe, the Daily Chart on Gold has settled in to a Triangle that presents a compelling breakout opportunity for traders.
After displaying one of the more pervasive trending moves since 2001, the ‘Yellow Metal,’ has faced some difficult times since peaking at 1920 in September of 2011.
One of the primary winds in the sail of Gold for 2010, leading into 2011 was the process of Quantitative Easing brought on by the US FOMC. Quantitative Easing, or ‘QE,’ as it has been dubbed, is the process by which a Central Bank will buy assets from smaller banks, or other financial institutions – with newly created money.
Think about the relationship with the quote in the chart above; XAU/USD.
The US Dollar – as the denominator, will generally weaken if all factors are equal and new US Dollars are being created. In the equation of XAU/USD – the denominator of USD essentially gets smaller as these new dollars are created. So the rise in Gold accompanying QE comes as no surprise.
What may be surprising is the brutal response in September that took the price of Gold below 1550. Since that point, Gold has maintained a relatively smooth trend line leading directly into the triangle with which we are now faced.
Breakouts can generally take place in any direction, and this opportunity on Gold is no different. The future move that trader’s may be looking to capitalize on here could very well be brought on by a yet unknown news announcement, or surprise event.
Next week can be a fun time in financial markets; but it may also be painful if we’re caught on the wrong side of a move.
Remember – trading opportunities are infinite, trading capital is not.
--- Written by James B. Stanley
鑿地爆竊恒生保險庫漏水事敗
蘋果日報全文
【本報訊】紅磡馬頭圍道恒生銀行分行保險庫，險被「鑽窿大盜」攻破！一批專業爆竊黨配備先進石屎鑽洞機，日前撬門潛入工廈一樓空置單位，鑽破堅固石屎地板，企圖潛入樓下銀行保險庫爆竊，但疑鑽洞時震動觸動警報器，嚇退賊黨空手逃去。鑑於案情嚴重，案件已交由擅長偵查爆竊案的西九龍總區重案組第四隊接手，警方相信賊黨事前經過周密部署，且對銀行內部環境瞭如指掌。記者:徐雲庭、梁澤岡
現場為馬頭圍道 21號義達工業大廈，地舖為恒生銀行分行，對上一樓則是一個約萬餘平方呎的單位，該單位為同層四個單位中最大一個，已空置多時，現由一間地產公司負責租售，昨仍有三名軍裝警員看守，而昨午西九龍總區重案組探員曾返回搜證，撿走部份證物化驗。因春節長假期，該恒生銀行分行未有營業，事發後曾有職員回來，事件似沒對該銀行造成影響，櫃員機亦正常運作，門口亦無任何相關告示。據悉，曾有探員取去銀行外圍多個閉路電視錄影片段，追查有否可疑人出現。
蘋果日報
保險庫「銅牆鐵壁」防盜
【本報訊】馬頭圍道鑽洞企圖爆竊銀行案，全靠銀行精密電子防盜系統發揮作用，令賊人縱有周詳部署，亦告無功而還。資深私家偵探張大偉稱，銀行保險庫儲存客人及銀行本身大量財物，保安最為嚴密，除四面牆壁外，天花及地板亦鑲有鋼板，另外亦裝設各種先進防盜系統，即使一隻老鼠亦無所遁形。
張說，銀行本身需要嚴密防盜系統外，保險公司亦有很高要求，所以銀行保險庫就如一個銅牆鐵壁的「堡壘」，難以潛入。而這套保障銀行安全的防盜系統，包括擁有超聲波及紅外線功能的警報器，些微聲音及輕微震動也能感應到，該系統更會連接最接近的警署。他認為，今次竊賊打銀行保險庫主意是枉費心機，即使能鑽穿樓上單位地板，也鑽不開銀行鋼板，更會令警報器大鳴。
類似利用鑽洞機爆竊的案件過去亦曾發生，其中最轟動的一宗發生在 1995年 10月，旺角彌敦道謝瑞麟珠寶金行，被賊黨在樓上單位以六張棉隔音，利用鑽洞機鑽破地板潛入，掠去 2,000萬元珠寶。
2010年 1月，三名香港大盜，亦在日本東京鑿牆盜走銀座「天賞堂」珠寶手錶總店價值三億日圓（約值三千萬港元）名錶。
【本報訊】紅磡馬頭圍道恒生銀行分行保險庫，險被「鑽窿大盜」攻破！一批專業爆竊黨配備先進石屎鑽洞機，日前撬門潛入工廈一樓空置單位，鑽破堅固石屎地板，企圖潛入樓下銀行保險庫爆竊，但疑鑽洞時震動觸動警報器，嚇退賊黨空手逃去。鑑於案情嚴重，案件已交由擅長偵查爆竊案的西九龍總區重案組第四隊接手，警方相信賊黨事前經過周密部署，且對銀行內部環境瞭如指掌。記者:徐雲庭、梁澤岡
現場為馬頭圍道 21號義達工業大廈，地舖為恒生銀行分行，對上一樓則是一個約萬餘平方呎的單位，該單位為同層四個單位中最大一個，已空置多時，現由一間地產公司負責租售，昨仍有三名軍裝警員看守，而昨午西九龍總區重案組探員曾返回搜證，撿走部份證物化驗。因春節長假期，該恒生銀行分行未有營業，事發後曾有職員回來，事件似沒對該銀行造成影響，櫃員機亦正常運作，門口亦無任何相關告示。據悉，曾有探員取去銀行外圍多個閉路電視錄影片段，追查有否可疑人出現。
蘋果日報
保險庫「銅牆鐵壁」防盜
【本報訊】馬頭圍道鑽洞企圖爆竊銀行案，全靠銀行精密電子防盜系統發揮作用，令賊人縱有周詳部署，亦告無功而還。資深私家偵探張大偉稱，銀行保險庫儲存客人及銀行本身大量財物，保安最為嚴密，除四面牆壁外，天花及地板亦鑲有鋼板，另外亦裝設各種先進防盜系統，即使一隻老鼠亦無所遁形。
張說，銀行本身需要嚴密防盜系統外，保險公司亦有很高要求，所以銀行保險庫就如一個銅牆鐵壁的「堡壘」，難以潛入。而這套保障銀行安全的防盜系統，包括擁有超聲波及紅外線功能的警報器，些微聲音及輕微震動也能感應到，該系統更會連接最接近的警署。他認為，今次竊賊打銀行保險庫主意是枉費心機，即使能鑽穿樓上單位地板，也鑽不開銀行鋼板，更會令警報器大鳴。
類似利用鑽洞機爆竊的案件過去亦曾發生，其中最轟動的一宗發生在 1995年 10月，旺角彌敦道謝瑞麟珠寶金行，被賊黨在樓上單位以六張棉隔音，利用鑽洞機鑽破地板潛入，掠去 2,000萬元珠寶。
2010年 1月，三名香港大盜，亦在日本東京鑿牆盜走銀座「天賞堂」珠寶手錶總店價值三億日圓（約值三千萬港元）名錶。
Currency Wars Are Driving Gold and Silver Higher
finance.yahoo.com
Over the weekend, talks between Greece and its private-sector creditors over debt write-downs were unsuccessful. Charles Dallara, the creditors’ lead negotiator, left Athens on Saturday as differences remained over the terms of new Greek bonds. Although a deal was not agreed upon, the market is signaling high expectations for a deal to be completed soon.
On Monday, the U.S. dollar index, which places the greenback against a basket of six foreign currencies, declined from 80.34 to 79.65. It is the first time in 2012 the dollar index declined below 80, which had been acting as support in previous months. With the euro holding 58 percent weight in the dollar index, it is responsible for much of the dollar’s decline today. The euro climbed to $1.3044 on Monday, it’s highest level since December. In a press conference Monday morning, French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said, “A voluntary restructuring of debt held by private investors seems to be taking shape. We are determined to support Greece the time necessary for it to put in place reforms and for them to produce their effects.”
The recent hopes for a Greek deal and the decline in the dollar has given a boost to precious metals. Gold is near six-week highs as it closes in on $1,680 per ounce, while silver prices have surged 15 percent this year and currently trade near $32. Furthermore, international agreements and sanctions are reminding investors of the significance of precious metals in the global financial system.
Investor Insight: Inflation Concerns Remain as Gold and Silver Climb Higher
Earlier this month, Iran and Russia replaced the U.S. dollar with their national currencies in bilateral trade. This came after Iran replaced the dollar in its oil trade with India, China and Japan, reported Iran’s state-run Fars news agency. Today, European Union governments have agreed to fire back and place a ban on all new contracts to import, purchase or transport Iranian crude oil. Europe is Iran’s second-largest oil customer after China. Reuters explains, “EU countries with existing contracts for Iranian oil and petroleum products will have until July 1, 2012 to complete those contracts. The sanctions follow fresh financial measures signed into law by U.S. President Barack Obama on New Year’s Eve, and will mainly target the oil sector, which accounts for some 90 percent of Iranian exports to the EU.”
Although the oil sector is a large target, there is another important sector being targeted by the sanctions. EU governments also agreed to freeze the assets of Iran’s central bank. More importantly, it placed a ban on all trade in gold and other precious metals with Iran’s central bank and public entities. “Today’s decisions target the sources of the finance for the nuclear program, complementing already existing sanctions,” the EU explained. While the sanctions may be targeted at Iran’s nuclear financing, the move serves as a reminder to investors that precious metals are alternative reserve currencies used in the absence of the U.S. dollar. Recent data shows that Russia and China are likely to continue business with Iran outside of the U.S. dollar, which will help support gold and silver prices. In addition to trade agreements, Russia has reduced their U.S. Treasury holdings over 50 percent from October 2010, while China has reduced their holdings to the lowest level in over a year.
To contact the reporter on this story: Eric McWhinnie at staff.writers@wallstcheatsheet.com
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Damien Hoffman at editors@wallstcheatsheet.com
Over the weekend, talks between Greece and its private-sector creditors over debt write-downs were unsuccessful. Charles Dallara, the creditors’ lead negotiator, left Athens on Saturday as differences remained over the terms of new Greek bonds. Although a deal was not agreed upon, the market is signaling high expectations for a deal to be completed soon.
On Monday, the U.S. dollar index, which places the greenback against a basket of six foreign currencies, declined from 80.34 to 79.65. It is the first time in 2012 the dollar index declined below 80, which had been acting as support in previous months. With the euro holding 58 percent weight in the dollar index, it is responsible for much of the dollar’s decline today. The euro climbed to $1.3044 on Monday, it’s highest level since December. In a press conference Monday morning, French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said, “A voluntary restructuring of debt held by private investors seems to be taking shape. We are determined to support Greece the time necessary for it to put in place reforms and for them to produce their effects.”
The recent hopes for a Greek deal and the decline in the dollar has given a boost to precious metals. Gold is near six-week highs as it closes in on $1,680 per ounce, while silver prices have surged 15 percent this year and currently trade near $32. Furthermore, international agreements and sanctions are reminding investors of the significance of precious metals in the global financial system.
Investor Insight: Inflation Concerns Remain as Gold and Silver Climb Higher
Earlier this month, Iran and Russia replaced the U.S. dollar with their national currencies in bilateral trade. This came after Iran replaced the dollar in its oil trade with India, China and Japan, reported Iran’s state-run Fars news agency. Today, European Union governments have agreed to fire back and place a ban on all new contracts to import, purchase or transport Iranian crude oil. Europe is Iran’s second-largest oil customer after China. Reuters explains, “EU countries with existing contracts for Iranian oil and petroleum products will have until July 1, 2012 to complete those contracts. The sanctions follow fresh financial measures signed into law by U.S. President Barack Obama on New Year’s Eve, and will mainly target the oil sector, which accounts for some 90 percent of Iranian exports to the EU.”
Although the oil sector is a large target, there is another important sector being targeted by the sanctions. EU governments also agreed to freeze the assets of Iran’s central bank. More importantly, it placed a ban on all trade in gold and other precious metals with Iran’s central bank and public entities. “Today’s decisions target the sources of the finance for the nuclear program, complementing already existing sanctions,” the EU explained. While the sanctions may be targeted at Iran’s nuclear financing, the move serves as a reminder to investors that precious metals are alternative reserve currencies used in the absence of the U.S. dollar. Recent data shows that Russia and China are likely to continue business with Iran outside of the U.S. dollar, which will help support gold and silver prices. In addition to trade agreements, Russia has reduced their U.S. Treasury holdings over 50 percent from October 2010, while China has reduced their holdings to the lowest level in over a year.
To contact the reporter on this story: Eric McWhinnie at staff.writers@wallstcheatsheet.com
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Damien Hoffman at editors@wallstcheatsheet.com
2012年1月24日 星期二
太陽耀斑爆發 強烈輻射風暴襲地球
蘋果日報
美國太空氣象預報中心今天指出，強烈的太陽耀斑朝地球拋射2005年來最強烈輻射風暴，兩極地區部分衛星通訊可能中斷，飛機航班和發電廠也可能受到影響。
美國國家海洋暨大氣總署（NOAA）太空氣象預報中心（Space Weather Prediction Center）物理學家Doug Biesecker指出，昨晚1個中型太陽耀斑在太陽中心附近爆發。Doug Biesecker說：「耀斑本身無特別之處，但會造成時速400萬英里（640萬公里）極快日冕物質拋射。」
這些太陽質子已開始朝地球拋射，很可能持續到25日。太空氣象預報中心Terry Onsager說：「當這些粒子襲擊地球，就像把一個大鐵槌丟進地球磁場，那些能量會讓地球磁場產生變動。」
美國太空氣象預報中心今天指出，強烈的太陽耀斑朝地球拋射2005年來最強烈輻射風暴，兩極地區部分衛星通訊可能中斷，飛機航班和發電廠也可能受到影響。
美國國家海洋暨大氣總署（NOAA）太空氣象預報中心（Space Weather Prediction Center）物理學家Doug Biesecker指出，昨晚1個中型太陽耀斑在太陽中心附近爆發。Doug Biesecker說：「耀斑本身無特別之處，但會造成時速400萬英里（640萬公里）極快日冕物質拋射。」
這些太陽質子已開始朝地球拋射，很可能持續到25日。太空氣象預報中心Terry Onsager說：「當這些粒子襲擊地球，就像把一個大鐵槌丟進地球磁場，那些能量會讓地球磁場產生變動。」
Iran Banned From Trading Gold and Silver
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
Currency wars continue and are deepening.
Gold has risen in all currencies today and bullion up nearly 1 % to $1,675/oz. Gold rose 1.7% last week has risen more than 6% so far this year.
Gold jumped to its highest in more than a month as result of the uncertainty over of the Greek debt outcome and the growing geopolitical tensions with Iran and the US and Nato countries.
The Iranian geopolitical tension is supporting gold as Britain, America and France have delivered a clear message to Iran, sending six warships led by a 100,000 ton aircraft carrier through the highly sensitive Strait of Hormuz.
Reuters report that the EU has agreed to freeze the assets of the Iranian central bank and ban all trade in gold and other precious metals with the Iranian Central Bank and other public bodies in Iran.
According to IMF data, at the last official count (in 1996), Iran had reserves of just over 168 tonnes of gold. The FT reported in March 2011 that Iran has bought large amounts of bullion on the international market to diversify away from the dollar, citing a senior Bank of England official.
Many Asian markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holiday which has led to lower volumes.
Of note was there was an unusual burst of gold futures buying on the TOCOM in Japan, which has helped the cash market to breach resistance at $1,666 an ounce.
Investors are also waiting for euro zone finance ministers to decide the terms of a Greek debt restructuring later today. This would be the second bailout package for Greece.
The risk of contagion in Eurozone debt and wider markets is leading to continued safe haven demand for gold.
Currency wars continue and are deepening.
Gold has risen in all currencies today and bullion up nearly 1 % to $1,675/oz. Gold rose 1.7% last week has risen more than 6% so far this year.
Gold jumped to its highest in more than a month as result of the uncertainty over of the Greek debt outcome and the growing geopolitical tensions with Iran and the US and Nato countries.
The Iranian geopolitical tension is supporting gold as Britain, America and France have delivered a clear message to Iran, sending six warships led by a 100,000 ton aircraft carrier through the highly sensitive Strait of Hormuz.
Reuters report that the EU has agreed to freeze the assets of the Iranian central bank and ban all trade in gold and other precious metals with the Iranian Central Bank and other public bodies in Iran.
According to IMF data, at the last official count (in 1996), Iran had reserves of just over 168 tonnes of gold. The FT reported in March 2011 that Iran has bought large amounts of bullion on the international market to diversify away from the dollar, citing a senior Bank of England official.
Many Asian markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holiday which has led to lower volumes.
Of note was there was an unusual burst of gold futures buying on the TOCOM in Japan, which has helped the cash market to breach resistance at $1,666 an ounce.
Investors are also waiting for euro zone finance ministers to decide the terms of a Greek debt restructuring later today. This would be the second bailout package for Greece.
The risk of contagion in Eurozone debt and wider markets is leading to continued safe haven demand for gold.
2012年1月23日 星期一
2012年1月22日 星期日
Fake Bullion Warning
愈睇愈心寒, 因為連最新產品都有假 !
www.ozcopper.com 有圖
www.ozcopper.com 有圖
There are currently many fake gold and silver ingots and coins being sold out of China. Many of these items are made to a high quality and are hard to tell from the original for those not familiar with the original items. Below is a list of some of the current fake types available.
The composition of the fake silver is typically made up from:
Au 0.093
Ao 0.267
Zn 13.40
Cu 83.40
Ni 2.81
Fe 0.051
Currently faked silver ingots and coins:
1 ounce Sunshine Mint
1 ounce Scotsdale
1 ounce Pan American
American Prospector
Many generic 1 ounce ingots including the USA flag design, scales design and “worth its weight in silver design.
Coins include:
2012 Perth Mint dragon
Canadian Maple Leaf
The specific gravity test resultes for the above filed “coin” is:
Gross weight after filing 30.27 grams, displacement weight 2.75 grams, end result is 11.00. A normal coin should have a specific gravity weight of 10.5
Fake gold coins and ingots include:
2011 Perth mint 1 Ounce gold Kangaroo
Krugerrands
1/10th ounce Austrian Philharmonic gold coin
大陸假幣
china-mint.info
Fake 2008 1oz .999 silver panda (without face value) weights only 0.669oz
'Beijing Olympic Gold & Silver Coin Set' -- One of the most popular fake coin sets from China on Ebay. If you do a search, you will see hundreds are currently listing on Ebay. This fake set was sold by Chinese seller kidtteop who got banned in Oct. 2008. It was sold as '2008 Beijing Olympics Gold & Silver Set'.
Genuine 1/3oz gold is 9.45g in weight (fake one is 9.8g). Genuine 1oz silver is 28.35g (fake is 29.6g).
ALL OF THESE ITEMS ARE MADE WITH CHEAP METALS, SUCH AS LEAD, COPPER, NICKEL OR IRON...
Fake 2008 1oz .999 silver panda (without face value) weights only 0.669oz
'Beijing Olympic Gold & Silver Coin Set' -- One of the most popular fake coin sets from China on Ebay. If you do a search, you will see hundreds are currently listing on Ebay. This fake set was sold by Chinese seller kidtteop who got banned in Oct. 2008. It was sold as '2008 Beijing Olympics Gold & Silver Set'.
Genuine 1/3oz gold is 9.45g in weight (fake one is 9.8g). Genuine 1oz silver is 28.35g (fake is 29.6g).
ALL OF THESE ITEMS ARE MADE WITH CHEAP METALS, SUCH AS LEAD, COPPER, NICKEL OR IRON...
How To Identify Fake, Counterfeit And Copy US Coins
coinauctionshelp.com 全文
With the large premiums for rare dates and mint for certain US Coins, it is no surprise that unscrupulous sellers have minted their own versions of some of these coins. While other so-called "Coin Doctors" have gone through great pains to alter a mint mark, among other details, to make a coin more valuable.
I once saw an 1893-S Morgan Dollar at a coin show, and as the potential buyer inspected the coin, the "S" fell off the coin! Someone had cut the "S" off another, more common, Morgan Dollar and glued the "shaved" mint mark onto the back of an 1893-P. The list is endless on what some will do to make a common coin into a what appears to be a rare coin, but buyers can educate themselves so they don't get cheated out of their money.
以下呢個網有好多款新鑄翻版銀幣 www.coin-rare.com, 但只有在幣上有[COPY]印的才可以合法買賣
With the large premiums for rare dates and mint for certain US Coins, it is no surprise that unscrupulous sellers have minted their own versions of some of these coins. While other so-called "Coin Doctors" have gone through great pains to alter a mint mark, among other details, to make a coin more valuable.
I once saw an 1893-S Morgan Dollar at a coin show, and as the potential buyer inspected the coin, the "S" fell off the coin! Someone had cut the "S" off another, more common, Morgan Dollar and glued the "shaved" mint mark onto the back of an 1893-P. The list is endless on what some will do to make a common coin into a what appears to be a rare coin, but buyers can educate themselves so they don't get cheated out of their money.
以下呢個網有好多款新鑄翻版銀幣 www.coin-rare.com, 但只有在幣上有[COPY]印的才可以合法買賣
U.S. Mint Warns About NORFED Liberty Dollar U.S. Coin Lookalikes!
呢種銀幣有面值, 但唔可以在美國行使 !
coins.about.com
The Liberty Dollars were produced by a now-defunct organization with the unwieldy name "National Organization for the Repeal of the Federal Reserve Act and the Internal Revenue Code," or NORFED for short. NORFED's goal, according its founder Bernard Von NotHaus, was to provide an alternative currency to that which is issued by the U.S. federal government: a currency that is backed by gold and silver, and therefore inflation-proof. NORFED has manufactured these coins in various denominations, including $1, $5, $10, and $20 in silver, and $500 in gold.
The U.S. Mint issued a consumer advisory warning people that the NORFED Liberty Dollars might be confusing to consumers, and stating that their use as circulating money was a federal crime (which NORFED disputes.) What makes these Liberty Dollars so dangerous in the eyes of the U.S. Mint is that the Liberty Dollars have been designed to look very much like the existing circulating U.S. coinage. These are the similarities and how to tell them apart:
* LIBERTY inscription - Genuine legal tender coins also bear the LIBERTY inscription
* TRUST IN GOD inscription - Genuine legal tender coins are inscribed IN GOD WE TRUST
* Value is stated in Dollars - Genuine U.S. currency is also given in Dollars
* Depiction of the Statue of Liberty - The Presidential Dollars also bear the Statue of Liberty
* The inscription "USA" - USA is widely understood to mean United States of America
* 1.800.NEW.DOLLAR on the reverse - The United States does not put phone numbers on its coinage
* LibertyDollar.Org on the reverse - The U.S. doesn't put Web addresses on its coins either
In addition to the coins being distributed by NORFED, there is printed currency in the form of various denominations of dollar bills. These paper Liberty Dollars are far less worrisome, since they don't look anything at all like real U.S. paper money.
Confusion About the NORFED Dollars - The reason these Liberty Dollar coins were deemed potentially confusing by the U.S. Mint is that the Mint introduced a new One Dollar coin type in February 2007, called the Presidential Dollar. Any time there is a major change to the coinage, there is bound to be some confusion, and unfortunately the Mint feels that these so-called "Liberty Dollars" are similar enough to genuine U.S. coinage that people might take them during monetary transactions without realizing that they're not U.S. legal tender.
What to do if you encounter NORFED Liberty Dollars - Although it is not against the law to own these Liberty Dollars as a collectible item, it is illegal to use them to conduct any commerce in the United States. If a merchant tries to give you one, politely refuse it. If they insist, claiming these coins are legal tender, you should cancel the entire transaction with that merchant and report them to your local Secret Service Field Office.
The Presidential Dollars are golden-colored - If someone tries to give you a dollar coin that you don't recognize or aren't sure about, just remember that the only U.S. Dollar coin type is the "golden dollar," the same size and color as the Sacagawea Dollar. The U.S. does not make any penny, nickel, or dime-sized dollar or multiple-dollar coins out of a silver-colored alloy.
2012年1月21日 星期六
加拿大稅收
Kitco Forum
As a Canadian, I've wondered about the issue of capital gains taxes on bullion for a long time, but after reviewing the Canadian Tax Code recently, I have discovered that my primary precious metals investment vehicle (1-oz silver bullion coins) are exempted from capital gains taxes.
Capital Gains 2011 - Canada Revenue Agency
Essentially, any coin that was purchased for under $1000 and sold for under $1000 is considered Listed Personal Property (LPP) under the Canadian Tax Code (see page 7), which is a specific type of Personal-Use Property (which would include such things as a boat, car, or furniture).
The only attribute that distinguishes LPP from Personal-Use Property is that LPP would generally be expected to increase in value over time, such as in the case of jewelry, rare art, a stamp collection, or coins, whereas Personal-Use Property tends to depreciate (as with a boat, car, or furniture).
The details from the Canada Revenue Agency document (Page 20) are as follows:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
"Because LPP is a type of personal-use property, the capital
gain or loss on the sale of the LPP item is calculated the
same way as for personal-use property. For more
information about these rules, see “Personal-use property”
Personal-use property
When you dispose of personal-use property, you may have
a capital gain or loss. To calculate this gain or loss, follow
these rules:
■ If the adjusted cost base (ACB) of the property is less
than $1,000, its ACB is considered to be $1,000.
■ If the proceeds of disposition are less than $1,000, the
proceeds of disposition are considered to be $1,000.
■ If both the ACB and the proceeds of disposition
are $1,000 or less, you do not have a capital gain or a
capital loss. Do not report the sale on Schedule 3 when
you file your income tax and benefit return."
When you dispose of personal-use property that has an
ACB or proceeds of disposition of more than $1,000, you
may have a capital gain or loss.
Adjusted cost base (ACB) – usually the cost of a property
plus any expenses to acquire it, such as commissions and
legal fees.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Based on this wonderful discovery, I would advise Canadians to purchase only bullion that you expect to be saleable for less than 1000$/unit in order to avoid any capital gains on your bullion.
Given my long-term price targets of $6000/oz for gold and $300/oz for silver, that would mean 5 gram bars of gold (or smaller), and 3-oz bars of silver (or smaller).
Since the capital gains tax in Canada is based on 50% of the gain, taxed at your personal marginal tax rate (for the average person, around 30-35%), a typical capital gains tax on bullion would be about 15-18%. The tax loss of 15-18% upon sale of a 100oz bar of silver (which would be bought and sold for considerably more than more than $1000) outweighs any savings in terms of the lower premium over a 1oz round.
Therefore, this analysis suggest that Canadians should only be buying 1 oz silver, 1/10 oz fractional gold coins, or 5gr gold coins to maximize their eventual gains.
As a Canadian, I've wondered about the issue of capital gains taxes on bullion for a long time, but after reviewing the Canadian Tax Code recently, I have discovered that my primary precious metals investment vehicle (1-oz silver bullion coins) are exempted from capital gains taxes.
Capital Gains 2011 - Canada Revenue Agency
Essentially, any coin that was purchased for under $1000 and sold for under $1000 is considered Listed Personal Property (LPP) under the Canadian Tax Code (see page 7), which is a specific type of Personal-Use Property (which would include such things as a boat, car, or furniture).
The only attribute that distinguishes LPP from Personal-Use Property is that LPP would generally be expected to increase in value over time, such as in the case of jewelry, rare art, a stamp collection, or coins, whereas Personal-Use Property tends to depreciate (as with a boat, car, or furniture).
The details from the Canada Revenue Agency document (Page 20) are as follows:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
"Because LPP is a type of personal-use property, the capital
gain or loss on the sale of the LPP item is calculated the
same way as for personal-use property. For more
information about these rules, see “Personal-use property”
Personal-use property
When you dispose of personal-use property, you may have
a capital gain or loss. To calculate this gain or loss, follow
these rules:
■ If the adjusted cost base (ACB) of the property is less
than $1,000, its ACB is considered to be $1,000.
■ If the proceeds of disposition are less than $1,000, the
proceeds of disposition are considered to be $1,000.
■ If both the ACB and the proceeds of disposition
are $1,000 or less, you do not have a capital gain or a
capital loss. Do not report the sale on Schedule 3 when
you file your income tax and benefit return."
When you dispose of personal-use property that has an
ACB or proceeds of disposition of more than $1,000, you
may have a capital gain or loss.
Adjusted cost base (ACB) – usually the cost of a property
plus any expenses to acquire it, such as commissions and
legal fees.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Based on this wonderful discovery, I would advise Canadians to purchase only bullion that you expect to be saleable for less than 1000$/unit in order to avoid any capital gains on your bullion.
Given my long-term price targets of $6000/oz for gold and $300/oz for silver, that would mean 5 gram bars of gold (or smaller), and 3-oz bars of silver (or smaller).
Since the capital gains tax in Canada is based on 50% of the gain, taxed at your personal marginal tax rate (for the average person, around 30-35%), a typical capital gains tax on bullion would be about 15-18%. The tax loss of 15-18% upon sale of a 100oz bar of silver (which would be bought and sold for considerably more than more than $1000) outweighs any savings in terms of the lower premium over a 1oz round.
Therefore, this analysis suggest that Canadians should only be buying 1 oz silver, 1/10 oz fractional gold coins, or 5gr gold coins to maximize their eventual gains.
金銀漲銅跌
tw.money.yahoo.com
（中央社台北2012年1月21日電）黃金價格4個交易日來第3度上漲，主因黃金需求增加。銀價也漲至5週高點。銅期貨價格跌幅為2週來最大，因有一項指數顯示，世界最大工業金屬消耗國─中國大陸製造業可能會連續第3個月萎縮。
美國鑄幣局早已於1月賣出10.6萬盎司金幣，高於去年12月的金幣總銷量6萬5500盎司。根據Optionsellers.com創辦人柯迪爾（James Cordier），中國大陸、台灣、香港、越南和泰國皆在農曆新年前提高黃金購買量。
柯迪爾接受電訪時表示：「黃金實貨採購力道多多少少支撐金價。投資人漸漸但也的確回來買進貴金屬了。」
紐約2月交割的黃金期貨上漲0.6%，收每盎司1664美元。期金連續第3週週線收漲，也創下2008年來最佳的一年之始表現。
根據世界黃金協會（World Gold Council），大陸第3季已取代印度成為全球最大黃金飾品市場。
3月交割的期銀勁揚3.8%，收每盎司31.675美元，改寫3日以來最大漲幅。盤中期銀一度漲至31.90美元，寫下去年12月13日以來最高水準。期銀本週累漲7.3%，創下去年10月以來最大幅度。
紐約4月交割的白金期貨揚升0.9%，收每盎司1532美元。本週白金期貨計漲2.9%。3月交割的期鈀挫跌0.4%，收每盎司675.70美元，為本週首見的跌幅。
匯豐控股（HSBC Holdings Plc）和MarkitEconomics昨天公布的初步數據顯示，大陸1月製造業採購經理人指數為48.8。數據50為擴張和萎縮的分野。美元兌歐元匯價升值，使銅作為替代性資產的魅力減少，也是銅價挫跌的原因。
紐約3月交割的期銅下跌1.5%，收每磅3.745美元，創下4日以來最深跌幅。期銅盤中觸及3.834美元，為去年9月19日以來交易最活絡期貨商品的最高點。期銅本週累漲3%，1月至今上漲9%。
大陸成長放緩，可能會促使政府鬆綁放款限制。
倫敦Sucden Financial Ltd.交易員蒙提福斯科（Robert Montefusco）在電郵中表示，農曆新年過後「我們預期大陸會開始放寬貸款限制」，藉以支撐經濟力道。
大陸市場下週因逢農曆新年假期將休市。
倫敦3個月交割的期銅下挫1.7%，收每公噸8220美元（每磅3.73美元）。
倫敦鋁、鋅和錫價下跌。鎳和鉛價雙雙上漲。（譯者：中央社陳昱婷）
（中央社台北2012年1月21日電）黃金價格4個交易日來第3度上漲，主因黃金需求增加。銀價也漲至5週高點。銅期貨價格跌幅為2週來最大，因有一項指數顯示，世界最大工業金屬消耗國─中國大陸製造業可能會連續第3個月萎縮。
美國鑄幣局早已於1月賣出10.6萬盎司金幣，高於去年12月的金幣總銷量6萬5500盎司。根據Optionsellers.com創辦人柯迪爾（James Cordier），中國大陸、台灣、香港、越南和泰國皆在農曆新年前提高黃金購買量。
柯迪爾接受電訪時表示：「黃金實貨採購力道多多少少支撐金價。投資人漸漸但也的確回來買進貴金屬了。」
紐約2月交割的黃金期貨上漲0.6%，收每盎司1664美元。期金連續第3週週線收漲，也創下2008年來最佳的一年之始表現。
根據世界黃金協會（World Gold Council），大陸第3季已取代印度成為全球最大黃金飾品市場。
3月交割的期銀勁揚3.8%，收每盎司31.675美元，改寫3日以來最大漲幅。盤中期銀一度漲至31.90美元，寫下去年12月13日以來最高水準。期銀本週累漲7.3%，創下去年10月以來最大幅度。
紐約4月交割的白金期貨揚升0.9%，收每盎司1532美元。本週白金期貨計漲2.9%。3月交割的期鈀挫跌0.4%，收每盎司675.70美元，為本週首見的跌幅。
匯豐控股（HSBC Holdings Plc）和MarkitEconomics昨天公布的初步數據顯示，大陸1月製造業採購經理人指數為48.8。數據50為擴張和萎縮的分野。美元兌歐元匯價升值，使銅作為替代性資產的魅力減少，也是銅價挫跌的原因。
紐約3月交割的期銅下跌1.5%，收每磅3.745美元，創下4日以來最深跌幅。期銅盤中觸及3.834美元，為去年9月19日以來交易最活絡期貨商品的最高點。期銅本週累漲3%，1月至今上漲9%。
大陸成長放緩，可能會促使政府鬆綁放款限制。
倫敦Sucden Financial Ltd.交易員蒙提福斯科（Robert Montefusco）在電郵中表示，農曆新年過後「我們預期大陸會開始放寬貸款限制」，藉以支撐經濟力道。
大陸市場下週因逢農曆新年假期將休市。
倫敦3個月交割的期銅下挫1.7%，收每公噸8220美元（每磅3.73美元）。
倫敦鋁、鋅和錫價下跌。鎳和鉛價雙雙上漲。（譯者：中央社陳昱婷）
The U.S. Government Still Has The Power To Issue Debt-Free Money
theeconomiccollapseblog.com 全文
Most Americans have no idea that the U.S. government once issued debt-free money directly into circulation. America once thrived under a debt-free monetary system, and we can do it again. The truth is that the United States is a sovereign nation and it does not need to borrow money from anyone. Back in the days of JFK, Federal Reserve Notes were not the only currency in circulation. Under JFK (at at various other times), a limited number of debt-free United States Notes were issued by the U.S. Treasury and spent by the U.S. government without any new debt being created. In fact, each bill said "United States Note" right at the top. Unfortunately, United States Notes are not being issued today. If you stop right now and pull a dollar out of your wallet, what does it say right at the top? It says "Federal Reserve Note". Normally, the way our current system works is that whenever more Federal Reserve Notes are created more debt is also created. This debt-based monetary system is systematically destroying the wealth of this nation. But it does not have to be this way. The truth is that the U.S. government still has the power under the U.S. Constitution to issue debt-free money, and we need to educate the American people about this.
According to Wikipedia, United States Notes were issued directly into circulation by the U.S. Treasury and they were first used during the Civil War....
So why are we using debt-based Federal Reserve Notes today instead of debt-free United States Notes?
It seems rather stupid, doesn't it?
Our current debt-based monetary system was devised by greedy bankers that wanted to make huge profits by creating money out of thin air and lending it to the U.S. government at interest.
Sadly, the vast majority of the American people have no idea how money is actually created in this nation.
When each new Federal Reserve Note is created, the interest owed by the federal government on that new Federal Reserve Note is not also created at the same time.
So the amount of government debt that is created actually exceeds the amount of money that is created.
Isn't that a stupid system?
The U.S. Constitution says that the federal government is the one that should actually be issuing our money.
In particular, according to Article I, Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution, it is the U.S. Congress that has been given the responsibility to "coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard of Weights and Measures".
So why is a private central banking cartel issuing our money?
As is the case with so many other issues, we desperately need to get back to the way the U.S. Constitution says that we should be doing things.
The debt-based Federal Reserve system is literally stealing the future from our children and our grandchildren.
Back in 1910, a couple years prior to the passage of the Federal Reserve Act, the national debt was only about $2.6 billion.
A little over 100 years later, our national debt is now more than 5000 times larger.
So why don't we just admit that this system simply does not work?
Our current debt-based monetary system also requires very high personal income taxes to pay for it.
In fact, it is no accident that the personal income tax was introduced at about the same time that the Federal Reserve system originally came into existence.
Our children, our grandchildren and many generations after that are facing a lifetime of debt slavery because of us.
As I have written about previously, if the federal government began right at this moment to repay the U.S. national debt at a rate of one dollar per second, it would take over 440,000 years to pay off the national debt.
Neither the Republicans or the Democrats are proposing any solutions to this problem. Rather, both parties are only trying to slow down the rate at which we are going into even more debt.
But the truth is that the federal government does not have to go into a single penny of additional debt.
How could this be?
It is not too complicated.
If Congress took back the power over our currency and started issuing debt-free money a lot of our problems could be fixed.
Most Americans believe that inflation is a fact of life, but the sad truth is that the United States has only had a major, ongoing problem with inflation since the Federal Reserve was created back in 1913.
Sadly, the U.S. dollar has lost well over 95 percent of its value since the Federal Reserve was created.
So, yes, there would be a need for strict monetary discipline under a debt-free monetary system, but it would be hard to do worse than the Federal Reserve has already been doing.
The American people need to understand that it is a lie that the U.S. government "must" borrow money from somebody else.
When the U.S. government borrows money, it slowly transfers wealth from the American people to those that lent it.
At this point, we have created a financial nightmare for future generations that is unlike anything the world has ever seen before. We owe it to future generations to eliminate the debt problem without destroying the United States economy. Adopting debt-free money would allow us to do that.
Most Americans have no idea that the U.S. government once issued debt-free money directly into circulation. America once thrived under a debt-free monetary system, and we can do it again. The truth is that the United States is a sovereign nation and it does not need to borrow money from anyone. Back in the days of JFK, Federal Reserve Notes were not the only currency in circulation. Under JFK (at at various other times), a limited number of debt-free United States Notes were issued by the U.S. Treasury and spent by the U.S. government without any new debt being created. In fact, each bill said "United States Note" right at the top. Unfortunately, United States Notes are not being issued today. If you stop right now and pull a dollar out of your wallet, what does it say right at the top? It says "Federal Reserve Note". Normally, the way our current system works is that whenever more Federal Reserve Notes are created more debt is also created. This debt-based monetary system is systematically destroying the wealth of this nation. But it does not have to be this way. The truth is that the U.S. government still has the power under the U.S. Constitution to issue debt-free money, and we need to educate the American people about this.
According to Wikipedia, United States Notes were issued directly into circulation by the U.S. Treasury and they were first used during the Civil War....
So why are we using debt-based Federal Reserve Notes today instead of debt-free United States Notes?
It seems rather stupid, doesn't it?
Our current debt-based monetary system was devised by greedy bankers that wanted to make huge profits by creating money out of thin air and lending it to the U.S. government at interest.
Sadly, the vast majority of the American people have no idea how money is actually created in this nation.
When each new Federal Reserve Note is created, the interest owed by the federal government on that new Federal Reserve Note is not also created at the same time.
So the amount of government debt that is created actually exceeds the amount of money that is created.
Isn't that a stupid system?
The U.S. Constitution says that the federal government is the one that should actually be issuing our money.
In particular, according to Article I, Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution, it is the U.S. Congress that has been given the responsibility to "coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard of Weights and Measures".
So why is a private central banking cartel issuing our money?
As is the case with so many other issues, we desperately need to get back to the way the U.S. Constitution says that we should be doing things.
The debt-based Federal Reserve system is literally stealing the future from our children and our grandchildren.
Back in 1910, a couple years prior to the passage of the Federal Reserve Act, the national debt was only about $2.6 billion.
A little over 100 years later, our national debt is now more than 5000 times larger.
So why don't we just admit that this system simply does not work?
Our current debt-based monetary system also requires very high personal income taxes to pay for it.
In fact, it is no accident that the personal income tax was introduced at about the same time that the Federal Reserve system originally came into existence.
Our children, our grandchildren and many generations after that are facing a lifetime of debt slavery because of us.
As I have written about previously, if the federal government began right at this moment to repay the U.S. national debt at a rate of one dollar per second, it would take over 440,000 years to pay off the national debt.
Neither the Republicans or the Democrats are proposing any solutions to this problem. Rather, both parties are only trying to slow down the rate at which we are going into even more debt.
But the truth is that the federal government does not have to go into a single penny of additional debt.
How could this be?
It is not too complicated.
If Congress took back the power over our currency and started issuing debt-free money a lot of our problems could be fixed.
Most Americans believe that inflation is a fact of life, but the sad truth is that the United States has only had a major, ongoing problem with inflation since the Federal Reserve was created back in 1913.
Sadly, the U.S. dollar has lost well over 95 percent of its value since the Federal Reserve was created.
So, yes, there would be a need for strict monetary discipline under a debt-free monetary system, but it would be hard to do worse than the Federal Reserve has already been doing.
The American people need to understand that it is a lie that the U.S. government "must" borrow money from somebody else.
When the U.S. government borrows money, it slowly transfers wealth from the American people to those that lent it.
At this point, we have created a financial nightmare for future generations that is unlike anything the world has ever seen before. We owe it to future generations to eliminate the debt problem without destroying the United States economy. Adopting debt-free money would allow us to do that.
The Global Elite Are Hiding 18 Trillion Dollars In Offshore Banks
theeconomiccollapseblog.com
In recent days, the fact that Mitt Romney has millions of dollars parked down in the Cayman Islands has made headlines all over the world. But when it comes to offshore banking, what Mitt Romney is doing is small potatoes. The truth is that the global elite are hiding an almost unbelievable amount of money in offshore banks. According to shocking research done by the IMF, the global elite are holding a total of 18 trillion dollars in offshore banks. And that figure does not even count any money being held in Switzerland. That is a staggering amount of money. Keep in mind that U.S. GDP in 2010 was only 14.58 trillion dollars. So why do the global elite go to such trouble to hide their money in offshore banks? Well, there are two main reasons. One is privacy and the other is low taxation. Privacy is a big issue for those that are involved in illegal enterprises such as drug running, but the biggest reason why people move money into offshore banks is in order to avoid taxes. Some set up bank accounts in foreign nations because they want to legally minimize their taxes and others set up bank accounts in foreign nations because they want to illegally avoid taxes. You would be absolutely amazed at what some large corporations and wealthy individuals do to get out of paying taxes. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the rest of us don't have the resources or the knowledge to play these games, so we get taxed into oblivion.
So why do they call it "offshore banking"?
Well, the term originally developed because the banks on the Channel Islands were "offshore" from the United Kingdom. Most "offshore banks" are still located on islands today. The Cayman Islands, Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the Isle of Man are examples of this. Other "offshore banking centers" such as Monaco are actually not "offshore" at all, but the term applies to them anyway.
Traditionally, these offshore banking centers have been very attractive to both criminals and to the global elite because they would not tell anyone (including governments) about the money that anyone had parked there.
These days some governments (particularly the U.S. government) are trying to change this, but we certainly will not see the end of offshore banking any time soon.
The amount of money that goes through these offshore banks is absolutely astounding.
It has been estimated that 80 percent of all international banking transactions take place through these offshore banks. $1.4 trillion is being held in offshore banks in the Cayman Islands alone.
One article in the Guardian estimated that a third of all the wealth on the entire globe is being held in offshore banks, and others believe that as much as half of all the capital in the world flows through offshore banks at some point.
Obviously, all of this tax avoidance means that governments around the world are missing out on a whole lot of money.
It has been estimated that the U.S. government is missing out on $100 billion a year because of these offshore banks. Others would put that figure significantly higher.
Avoiding taxes is a game that the global elite have mastered. They are playing a whole different ballgame than you and I are. They don't just sit there like idiots and get blasted with taxes. Instead, they hire the best experts and they employ every trick in the book to hold on to as much money as they possibly can.
Most among the global elite simply do not care that U.S. debt is climbing into the stratosphere. All they care about is keeping as much of their own money in their pockets as they possibly can.
Of course there are always exceptions to this rule. Warren Buffett recently wrote a check to the U.S. Treasury for a little more than $49,000 to help pay off the national debt.
But considering the fact that the U.S. national debt is increasing by more than 100 million dollars an hour, that didn't exactly do much to help.
Our system is deeply broken and the global elite are getting away with bloody murder. Over the decades, they have carefully crafted the rules so that as much wealth as possible is funneled into their pockets, and they have carefully crafted the rules so that as much wealth as possible stays in their pockets.
Of course if we got rid of the personal income tax and the corporate income tax entirely and replaced them with a completely new system we could get rid of all of this game playing once and for all.
In recent days, the fact that Mitt Romney has millions of dollars parked down in the Cayman Islands has made headlines all over the world. But when it comes to offshore banking, what Mitt Romney is doing is small potatoes. The truth is that the global elite are hiding an almost unbelievable amount of money in offshore banks. According to shocking research done by the IMF, the global elite are holding a total of 18 trillion dollars in offshore banks. And that figure does not even count any money being held in Switzerland. That is a staggering amount of money. Keep in mind that U.S. GDP in 2010 was only 14.58 trillion dollars. So why do the global elite go to such trouble to hide their money in offshore banks? Well, there are two main reasons. One is privacy and the other is low taxation. Privacy is a big issue for those that are involved in illegal enterprises such as drug running, but the biggest reason why people move money into offshore banks is in order to avoid taxes. Some set up bank accounts in foreign nations because they want to legally minimize their taxes and others set up bank accounts in foreign nations because they want to illegally avoid taxes. You would be absolutely amazed at what some large corporations and wealthy individuals do to get out of paying taxes. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the rest of us don't have the resources or the knowledge to play these games, so we get taxed into oblivion.
So why do they call it "offshore banking"?
Well, the term originally developed because the banks on the Channel Islands were "offshore" from the United Kingdom. Most "offshore banks" are still located on islands today. The Cayman Islands, Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the Isle of Man are examples of this. Other "offshore banking centers" such as Monaco are actually not "offshore" at all, but the term applies to them anyway.
Traditionally, these offshore banking centers have been very attractive to both criminals and to the global elite because they would not tell anyone (including governments) about the money that anyone had parked there.
These days some governments (particularly the U.S. government) are trying to change this, but we certainly will not see the end of offshore banking any time soon.
The amount of money that goes through these offshore banks is absolutely astounding.
It has been estimated that 80 percent of all international banking transactions take place through these offshore banks. $1.4 trillion is being held in offshore banks in the Cayman Islands alone.
One article in the Guardian estimated that a third of all the wealth on the entire globe is being held in offshore banks, and others believe that as much as half of all the capital in the world flows through offshore banks at some point.
Obviously, all of this tax avoidance means that governments around the world are missing out on a whole lot of money.
It has been estimated that the U.S. government is missing out on $100 billion a year because of these offshore banks. Others would put that figure significantly higher.
Avoiding taxes is a game that the global elite have mastered. They are playing a whole different ballgame than you and I are. They don't just sit there like idiots and get blasted with taxes. Instead, they hire the best experts and they employ every trick in the book to hold on to as much money as they possibly can.
Most among the global elite simply do not care that U.S. debt is climbing into the stratosphere. All they care about is keeping as much of their own money in their pockets as they possibly can.
Of course there are always exceptions to this rule. Warren Buffett recently wrote a check to the U.S. Treasury for a little more than $49,000 to help pay off the national debt.
But considering the fact that the U.S. national debt is increasing by more than 100 million dollars an hour, that didn't exactly do much to help.
Our system is deeply broken and the global elite are getting away with bloody murder. Over the decades, they have carefully crafted the rules so that as much wealth as possible is funneled into their pockets, and they have carefully crafted the rules so that as much wealth as possible stays in their pockets.
Of course if we got rid of the personal income tax and the corporate income tax entirely and replaced them with a completely new system we could get rid of all of this game playing once and for all.
美版網絡 23條惹火
如果惡法實施, 我地無得再轉貼重要文章, 也無得再 google search, 也無得去維基搵知識 !
如果惡法實施, 我都唔會買多張CD, 因為好多年都無買啦, 也唔會去睇多場電影, 因為多數在家睇電視 !
蘋果日報
忽聞維基關網一天，所為何事？不少人可能從未聽過 SOPA和 PIPA，原來是美國版網絡 23條的惡法，挑起美國網絡群體、公民社會和互聯網企業的群起反對。 SOPA和 PIPA是什麼？
SOPA（ Stop Online Piracy Act）是由美國兩黨 31位國會議員聯合提交的法案， PIPA（ Protect IP Act）則是由 11位參議院議員提出的相關法案，內容是要加強前身的 DMCA（ Digital Millennium Copyright Act），讓美國司法部或版權擁有者可向法庭申請禁令，阻止美國用戶連接至被指侵權的網站。
問題是，法案將容許投訴人單方面指控，美國法庭在不完全資訊下，命令把外國網頁阻隔，互聯網供應商要接受過濾內容，搜尋器公司要依法把部份搜尋結果刪除，網絡付費商不准再幫某些網站收費。
這法案顯然是對資訊自由的惡法，還要一眾網絡企業為版權擁有者免費審查網絡。美國不少輿論指出，這根本就是美國版的中國式「防火長城」，將迫使美國用戶學習翻牆！
維基 Google反對惡法
美國立法程序不像香港式的行政主導，是由議員提案，而不少議員受到既得利益集團的游說下，為大企業單方利益立法，就像我們所謂的「經濟霸權」。不過，政府方面就未必與國會議員一致，事關通過的法例，往往難以執行，甚至只待有人向法庭透過司法程序推翻；總統奧巴馬不久前已表態反對現行法例版本。
遠觀美國網民和企業的反對，和國際互聯網群體對 SOPA和 PIPA的關注，筆者佩服這些站出來高調反對的企業，當中除了非牟利的維基基金會和 Mozilla基金會外，還有 facebook、 Google、 Yahoo、 LinkedIn、 eBay等。
合法版權要保障，但用金錢和游說力量強暴通過惡法，而不反思改變商業模式迎合新科技，版權擁有者只會得不償失。
莫乃光
如果惡法實施, 我都唔會買多張CD, 因為好多年都無買啦, 也唔會去睇多場電影, 因為多數在家睇電視 !
蘋果日報
忽聞維基關網一天，所為何事？不少人可能從未聽過 SOPA和 PIPA，原來是美國版網絡 23條的惡法，挑起美國網絡群體、公民社會和互聯網企業的群起反對。 SOPA和 PIPA是什麼？
SOPA（ Stop Online Piracy Act）是由美國兩黨 31位國會議員聯合提交的法案， PIPA（ Protect IP Act）則是由 11位參議院議員提出的相關法案，內容是要加強前身的 DMCA（ Digital Millennium Copyright Act），讓美國司法部或版權擁有者可向法庭申請禁令，阻止美國用戶連接至被指侵權的網站。
問題是，法案將容許投訴人單方面指控，美國法庭在不完全資訊下，命令把外國網頁阻隔，互聯網供應商要接受過濾內容，搜尋器公司要依法把部份搜尋結果刪除，網絡付費商不准再幫某些網站收費。
這法案顯然是對資訊自由的惡法，還要一眾網絡企業為版權擁有者免費審查網絡。美國不少輿論指出，這根本就是美國版的中國式「防火長城」，將迫使美國用戶學習翻牆！
維基 Google反對惡法
美國立法程序不像香港式的行政主導，是由議員提案，而不少議員受到既得利益集團的游說下，為大企業單方利益立法，就像我們所謂的「經濟霸權」。不過，政府方面就未必與國會議員一致，事關通過的法例，往往難以執行，甚至只待有人向法庭透過司法程序推翻；總統奧巴馬不久前已表態反對現行法例版本。
遠觀美國網民和企業的反對，和國際互聯網群體對 SOPA和 PIPA的關注，筆者佩服這些站出來高調反對的企業，當中除了非牟利的維基基金會和 Mozilla基金會外，還有 facebook、 Google、 Yahoo、 LinkedIn、 eBay等。
合法版權要保障，但用金錢和游說力量強暴通過惡法，而不反思改變商業模式迎合新科技，版權擁有者只會得不償失。
莫乃光
企業職工養老金「七連漲」
文匯報
香港文匯報訊（記者 何凡 北京報道）中國內地提高對退休人士的生存保障。人力資源和社會保障部昨日稱，從今年元旦起，全國企業退休人員的養老金再增加10%，令月人均養老金達到 1,531元，這已是內地連續7年增加養老金。專家指出，「養老金七連漲」彰顯出政府對民生的高度重視，但中國養老金制度仍需完善，其中，企業職工少於機 關職工約2,000-3,000元，養老金「碎片化、待遇差」的問題亟待解決。
香港文匯報訊（記者 何凡 北京報道）中國內地提高對退休人士的生存保障。人力資源和社會保障部昨日稱，從今年元旦起，全國企業退休人員的養老金再增加10%，令月人均養老金達到 1,531元，這已是內地連續7年增加養老金。專家指出，「養老金七連漲」彰顯出政府對民生的高度重視，但中國養老金制度仍需完善，其中，企業職工少於機 關職工約2,000-3,000元，養老金「碎片化、待遇差」的問題亟待解決。
人力資源和社會保障部新聞發言人尹成基在發佈會指出，連續7年調整企業退休人員基本養老金水平 後，全國月人均養老金達到1,531元。城鎮居民基本醫療保險財政補貼標準，從每人每年120元增加到200元，政策範圍內住院費用支付比例也進一步提 高。此外，去年還建立失業保險金標準與物價上漲掛鹇聯動制度，20個省份上調了失業保險金標準。
今年續擴大社保覆蓋面
尹成基又表示，社會保險制度建設加快推進。去年底，全國國家試點地區參加新農保和城鎮居民養老保險人數達到3.3億人。今年，該部將繼續擴大社會保險覆蓋範圍，以非公有制經濟組織從業人員、靈活就業人員、農民工和被徵地農民為重點，擴大各項社會保險覆蓋面。
數據顯示，全國按月領取養老金的有8,759萬人。清華大學就業與社會保障研究中心主任、國家社會保險標準委員會委員特聘專家楊燕綏對本報表示，中國正面臨緊迫的人口老齡化挑戰，養老金制度需結構調整，亟待整合完善。
據楊燕綏推算，在目前領取養老金的人群中，企業職工佔據大多數，約有7,000多萬人。而他們與機關、事業單位職工領取養老金的情況並不相同。
養老金制度臨結構調整
楊燕綏表示，「如果機關與事業單位還執行傳統的退休制度、退休金制度，個人不繳費，也沒有社會統籌 基金，最後是依靠財政預算、以個人退休工資的80%支付養老金，平均水平在4,000-5,000元左右；而企業職工需要繳費，個人需繳納工資的8%，企 業為其繳納20%，達到最少28%的費率，其養老金平均水平在1,000-2,000元。」
楊燕綏指出，這正是中國養老金制度當前存在的「碎片化、待遇差」問題。而該制度還面臨結構調整， 即建立國家基礎養老金的任務。「中央明確要建立國家基礎養老金，據我們測算，如果建立全民性的養老金，並從60歲就開始發放，其數額將佔到GDP的5%以 上；而如果從65歲開始發放，則不會超過GDP的4%。中國老齡化的問題已經越來越嚴峻，養老金支付的壓力問題確實存在。」
而對於社會保險基金的保值增值問題，尹成基指出，養老保險的支付壓力是最大的，該部正研究養老保險積累基金的投資運營辦法。五項社會保險中，養老保險在制度設計上是統帳結合的制度，是部分積累制，就有積累資金的保值增值問題。
擬闢養老保險金增值新路
他說，下一步將考慮開闢一些新的投資運營的渠道，研究後在辦法中加以明確。但是，辦法的總原則是要確保基金的安全，這是第一位的。到去年年底，五項社會保險基金累計結餘總額已達2.87萬億元，其中養老保險累計結餘1.92萬億元。
The Evolution of the US Dollar
美國最初發行的是 Morgan Dollar, 而之後發行的是 Peace Dollar !
所以真正的古董銀幣是 28克重, 而唔係一盎司, 而一盎司Morgan/Peace銀幣都是翻版幣 !
而 Martin Armstrong 想帶出的是早期美元是用真銀鑄出來的 !
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
Martin Armstrong has released a must read 31 page historical study of the history of the US dollar:
The United States “dollar” was the adoption of the German monetary unit “thaler” that had become synonymous with the silver coin of about 28 g. Therefore the dollar was actually based upon the Spanish silver 8 Reales coins commonly called dollars which had become the mainstay of the colonial monetary system.
The term “Piece of Eight” refers to the fact that these coins were often cut into “pieces” to make small change. These pieces were called a “bit” representing 12.5 cents and thus 8 bits was equal to 8 shillings which equaled a pound. By the time the US dollar was created in 1794, "two bits" was equal to 25 cents (quarter dollar).
所以真正的古董銀幣是 28克重, 而唔係一盎司, 而一盎司Morgan/Peace銀幣都是翻版幣 !
而 Martin Armstrong 想帶出的是早期美元是用真銀鑄出來的 !
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
Martin Armstrong has released a must read 31 page historical study of the history of the US dollar:
The United States “dollar” was the adoption of the German monetary unit “thaler” that had become synonymous with the silver coin of about 28 g. Therefore the dollar was actually based upon the Spanish silver 8 Reales coins commonly called dollars which had become the mainstay of the colonial monetary system.
The term “Piece of Eight” refers to the fact that these coins were often cut into “pieces” to make small change. These pieces were called a “bit” representing 12.5 cents and thus 8 bits was equal to 8 shillings which equaled a pound. By the time the US dollar was created in 1794, "two bits" was equal to 25 cents (quarter dollar).
2012年1月20日 星期五
disallow replica coin listings on eBay.com, effective February 20
沒知呢樣代表乜野 ?
唔可以賣複製幣還是加個 [copy] 就可以賣 ?
所以大家最好唔好買複製銀幣, 唔係將來俾人告侵權, 咁就賣唔到出去了, 須去忠記溶幣 !
原來只可以賣有[COPY]印的翻版幣, 而其他唔可以賣, 只持有都違法 !
coinauctionshelp.com
It's illegal to own any counterfeit or fake or copy, unless the word COPY is stamped into to coin and can be read noticeable.
Kitco forum
The eBay marketplace for coin collecting is vibrant. Buyers and sellers alike enjoy access to both a great selection and a highly engaged community. Customers within the Coins & Paper Money category have told us that the ability to shop and sell confidently on eBay is an important factor for them.
Based on this feedback, and after closely reviewing the coin experience on eBay, we have decided to update eBay's Stamps, currency, and coins policy to disallow replica coin listings on eBay.com, effective February 20. Any replica coin listings on eBay on February 20 will be allowed to end normally.
This update reflects standards across the coin industry and helps ensure compliance with applicable laws that require replica coins to be permanently marked with the word "copy." We also expect that this update will increase marketplace confidence by letting our community know that coin listings on eBay are authentic, so they'll receive the most positive eBay experience possible.
As always, thank you for selling on eBay.
Sincerely,
The eBay Seller Team
唔可以賣複製幣還是加個 [copy] 就可以賣 ?
所以大家最好唔好買複製銀幣, 唔係將來俾人告侵權, 咁就賣唔到出去了, 須去忠記溶幣 !
原來只可以賣有[COPY]印的翻版幣, 而其他唔可以賣, 只持有都違法 !
coinauctionshelp.com
It's illegal to own any counterfeit or fake or copy, unless the word COPY is stamped into to coin and can be read noticeable.
Kitco forum
The eBay marketplace for coin collecting is vibrant. Buyers and sellers alike enjoy access to both a great selection and a highly engaged community. Customers within the Coins & Paper Money category have told us that the ability to shop and sell confidently on eBay is an important factor for them.
Based on this feedback, and after closely reviewing the coin experience on eBay, we have decided to update eBay's Stamps, currency, and coins policy to disallow replica coin listings on eBay.com, effective February 20. Any replica coin listings on eBay on February 20 will be allowed to end normally.
This update reflects standards across the coin industry and helps ensure compliance with applicable laws that require replica coins to be permanently marked with the word "copy." We also expect that this update will increase marketplace confidence by letting our community know that coin listings on eBay are authentic, so they'll receive the most positive eBay experience possible.
As always, thank you for selling on eBay.
Sincerely,
The eBay Seller Team
There Will Be a Run on Gold Stored in the US
kingworldnews.com
With gold remaining firm above $1,650, today King World News interviewed legendary Jim Sinclair, to get his take on where things are headed. Sinclair surprised KWN by telling us there would be a run, by European countries, on the gold they have stored at the New York Fed. Here is what Sinclair had to say when we asked him if the IMF would be selling any gold: “No. The role of gold has changed and gold is moving more toward the central bank then away from it. On top of that you have seen a significant amount of media attention towards, ‘Where is our gold?’ This is taking place in the European press.”
Jim Sinclair continues:
“(There is) surprise when they find out it’s in a cellar of the New York Fed, in Manhattan Island. There’s a desire for gold to have more of a national scent to it as it becomes the only performing asset for the central banks. When asked about Europeans wanting their gold brought back to their respective countries, Sinclair responded, “You’re starting to see that, and you have also seen, from the figures, the central banks accumulating.
The Fed would have no legal basis, whatsoever, to refuse to deliver it (to Europe). Any refusal or even delay in delivering it would only cause requests for more. So I would say there would be a lot of back channel arm-twisting not to ask for it. A run begins slow and historically, if this is a trend, rather than decelerating it tends to accelerate.
I would say that when we go to QE3, in the US in 2012, that could accelerate the call for delivery on gold from the New York Fed. It’s exactly what will happen. You see it already in Euro press. Accepted media, which is main media over there (in Europe), is discussing it....
“That begins to show something that has a great deal more to it than the political motivation of Chavez, who knows very well leaving his gold with people he calls, ‘enemy,’ is not the brightest idea in the world. The New York Fed will give back the gold because of the ramifications of not doing it.”
When asked about the calls to provide liquidity to the financial system, Sinclair responded, “We live in a global world, transferred into a global economy, and the only central bank able to create that kind of volume of money, out of thin air, legally, is the New York Fed. QE3 will be global and the Fed is the lender of last resort, not only to its members and the national banking community, but to the entire Western world.
Gold’s bull market in 2012 is a guaranteed event as a product of the fact central banks have no tool in their tool box other than moving, now, from national to global QE. It’s a done deal.”
This was an important interview from Sinclair. It will be interesting to see how things unfold when European nations begin asking for their gold to be shipped back to them.
With gold remaining firm above $1,650, today King World News interviewed legendary Jim Sinclair, to get his take on where things are headed. Sinclair surprised KWN by telling us there would be a run, by European countries, on the gold they have stored at the New York Fed. Here is what Sinclair had to say when we asked him if the IMF would be selling any gold: “No. The role of gold has changed and gold is moving more toward the central bank then away from it. On top of that you have seen a significant amount of media attention towards, ‘Where is our gold?’ This is taking place in the European press.”
Jim Sinclair continues:
“(There is) surprise when they find out it’s in a cellar of the New York Fed, in Manhattan Island. There’s a desire for gold to have more of a national scent to it as it becomes the only performing asset for the central banks. When asked about Europeans wanting their gold brought back to their respective countries, Sinclair responded, “You’re starting to see that, and you have also seen, from the figures, the central banks accumulating.
The Fed would have no legal basis, whatsoever, to refuse to deliver it (to Europe). Any refusal or even delay in delivering it would only cause requests for more. So I would say there would be a lot of back channel arm-twisting not to ask for it. A run begins slow and historically, if this is a trend, rather than decelerating it tends to accelerate.
I would say that when we go to QE3, in the US in 2012, that could accelerate the call for delivery on gold from the New York Fed. It’s exactly what will happen. You see it already in Euro press. Accepted media, which is main media over there (in Europe), is discussing it....
“That begins to show something that has a great deal more to it than the political motivation of Chavez, who knows very well leaving his gold with people he calls, ‘enemy,’ is not the brightest idea in the world. The New York Fed will give back the gold because of the ramifications of not doing it.”
When asked about the calls to provide liquidity to the financial system, Sinclair responded, “We live in a global world, transferred into a global economy, and the only central bank able to create that kind of volume of money, out of thin air, legally, is the New York Fed. QE3 will be global and the Fed is the lender of last resort, not only to its members and the national banking community, but to the entire Western world.
Gold’s bull market in 2012 is a guaranteed event as a product of the fact central banks have no tool in their tool box other than moving, now, from national to global QE. It’s a done deal.”
This was an important interview from Sinclair. It will be interesting to see how things unfold when European nations begin asking for their gold to be shipped back to them.
2012年1月19日 星期四
2012年1月18日 星期三
思考力
現代人多數在溫室長大, 所以已唔知實金實銀的價值, 唔知乜叫惡性通脹, 所以也思考唔到在惡性通脹下, 實金實銀有乜作用 ?
在惡性通脹下, 紙幣會大貶值, 而物價會大升, 所以實金實銀會跟物價升值 !
在兵荒馬亂時期實金實銀買唔到糧食 ?
當然在兵荒馬亂時期, 實金實銀唔一定買到糧食, 但無實金實銀在手, 你肯定買唔到糧食, 因為你手上的紙幣會每分鐘在貶值 ! 呢分鐘你可能買到麵包食, 但下一分鐘你可能要加多10%先可以買到同一塊的麵包, 所以到時用實金實銀換糧是可以保到價值, 而商家也不是蠢人, 佢地也會樂意收實金實銀多過收分分鐘在貶值的紙幣 !
紀念幣是有溢價,商品屬性較大, 超通時不能發輝作用,想套現買其他資產都幾難,除非低過溢價出售 ? (我老公都有同樣的思維)
在超通時你手上的實金實銀都升咗值, 用一盎司現值300蚊的銀幣和用一盎司現值900蚊的銀幣, 你一樣可以換到同一包米, 有乜問題呢 ?
當然依家用900蚊可以買到三枚300蚊的銀幣, 但如果戰爭唔來, 個枚300蚊銀幣, 只會跟純銀價上落, 但個枚900蚊紀念幣可以因為它限量的收藏價值在短時間內升上去1500蚊, 而呢樣就是紀念幣的吸引力 ! 而一早說過, 乜投資都有風險, 所以也說過, 放倉底的會是個些300蚊的銀幣, 而紀念幣只會是最上層的一小部份 !
在惡性通脹下, 紙幣會大貶值, 而物價會大升, 所以實金實銀會跟物價升值 !
在兵荒馬亂時期實金實銀買唔到糧食 ?
當然在兵荒馬亂時期, 實金實銀唔一定買到糧食, 但無實金實銀在手, 你肯定買唔到糧食, 因為你手上的紙幣會每分鐘在貶值 ! 呢分鐘你可能買到麵包食, 但下一分鐘你可能要加多10%先可以買到同一塊的麵包, 所以到時用實金實銀換糧是可以保到價值, 而商家也不是蠢人, 佢地也會樂意收實金實銀多過收分分鐘在貶值的紙幣 !
紀念幣是有溢價,商品屬性較大, 超通時不能發輝作用,想套現買其他資產都幾難,除非低過溢價出售 ? (我老公都有同樣的思維)
在超通時你手上的實金實銀都升咗值, 用一盎司現值300蚊的銀幣和用一盎司現值900蚊的銀幣, 你一樣可以換到同一包米, 有乜問題呢 ?
當然依家用900蚊可以買到三枚300蚊的銀幣, 但如果戰爭唔來, 個枚300蚊銀幣, 只會跟純銀價上落, 但個枚900蚊紀念幣可以因為它限量的收藏價值在短時間內升上去1500蚊, 而呢樣就是紀念幣的吸引力 ! 而一早說過, 乜投資都有風險, 所以也說過, 放倉底的會是個些300蚊的銀幣, 而紀念幣只會是最上層的一小部份 !
London Trader - Staggering Gold Demand Creating Shortages
kingworldnews.com
With many global investors still concerned about the price of gold and silver, today King World News interviewed the “London Trader” to get his take on these markets. The source stated, “We’ve still got a very, very compressed spring because the shorts are still trying to defend their positions, their naked short positions in both the gold and silver markets. As an example, in the silver market, you saw that type of activity in the silver ETF (SLV). Shorts borrowed another 3 million ounces to cover immediate delivery concerns. There are 25 million ounces now borrowed from SLV. It is getting worse and worse for them.”
The London Trader continues:
“They are naked short on the COMEX and to meet immediate delivery demand they are having to borrow it from the SLV. It is still unwinding and it’s still got a long way to go. Yes, you will still see games being played and yes you can create paper gold out of thin air. But there comes a point where each time you do that the physical buyers are taking it and it has a lagging effect that will catch up, and eventually it gets reflected in the price.
The demand for euro gold here in London is so intense it’s shocking to some of the players. This is what has left some market participants in the US wondering why the price of gold has risen along with the dollar. It’s because demand in the eurozone is unimaginably strong. The euro physical gold demand is off the charts and it is creating shortages for metal, in size, here in London.
The physical gold market is actually being drained by euro gold buyers. People are converting their euros to gold and there is only a finite amount of physical gold available. Again, that’s why you are seeing the dollar and gold rallying together.
We are also seeing very strong markets in Asia with solid premiums. Silver is in backwardation. There are huge premiums for size (large tonnage orders) in silver and you are going to wait 3, 4 or 5 weeks for delivery. There is constant backwardation into the March futures contract. For the most part, the bid on silver spot has been higher than the ask on March futures.
These paper markets are a joke. Nobody who is seriously in the business of taking physical delivery is trading on the COMEX anymore. That is big news. The COMEX is no longer a credible marketplace....
Continue reading the London Trader interview below...
“You now have international funds, whose compliance departments are saying to them, ‘You can no longer trade on the Comex because the CME did not back client accounts.’ There are a tremendous number of international funds and hedge funds that can no longer trade on the COMEX as of the first of this year because of compliance reasons and no one is talking about this. This is huge news.
Back to gold, if we get a pit close above $1,650 you could see a lot of scared shorts begin to cover. This could create a very quick move higher in the gold price. Also, if we get a pit close above $1,650, we are going to see a very large tranche of unfilled wholesale orders moving a lot higher with their bids, and that will become a base. There are massive orders for sovereign entities under the market here.
The Chinese are long-term thinkers and they really don’t care whether they are paying $1,600 or $1,700 for gold. What they do is get the best price they can. When the new floor eventually becomes $1,700, they will buy everything available at that price. When it becomes $1,800 they will buy at that price. They are just looking to accumulate gold and they are never sellers, never.
There are two things here. Yes, China wants a cheap gold price and they’ve been enjoying the fact the gold market was taken down. They have recently taken another roughly 150 tons away from the Western central banks. The Western central banks essentially donated that gold in an attempt to prop up their paper currencies. Yet again these traitorous Western central bankers have given away more power.
I see gold as power and once again they have given it away to the Eastern Hemisphere. The Chinese continue to laugh. As much as the Chinese would like to have a cheap gold price and have this manipulation keep going, they also want to bring the renminbi to the center stage.
To them, it’s more important the Chinese currency becomes the world’s currency. The dollar, despite the latest rally, is dying, we all know it’s dying. So, the Chinese are moving to become the international currency of the world and the best way to do that is through gold. It’s a very clever tactic. Every time more gold arrives in China, the more their currency is backed, the closer they move technically to becoming the world’s reserve currency.”
The flow of gold from Western vaults to Eastern vaults is the most important symbol of the decline of the West. As the East rises, the West falls. “So goes the gold, so goes the power.” Remember to be your own central bank by owning physical gold. Many in Europe have apparently figured this out as gold demand is, “off the charts.”
With many global investors still concerned about the price of gold and silver, today King World News interviewed the “London Trader” to get his take on these markets. The source stated, “We’ve still got a very, very compressed spring because the shorts are still trying to defend their positions, their naked short positions in both the gold and silver markets. As an example, in the silver market, you saw that type of activity in the silver ETF (SLV). Shorts borrowed another 3 million ounces to cover immediate delivery concerns. There are 25 million ounces now borrowed from SLV. It is getting worse and worse for them.”
The London Trader continues:
“They are naked short on the COMEX and to meet immediate delivery demand they are having to borrow it from the SLV. It is still unwinding and it’s still got a long way to go. Yes, you will still see games being played and yes you can create paper gold out of thin air. But there comes a point where each time you do that the physical buyers are taking it and it has a lagging effect that will catch up, and eventually it gets reflected in the price.
The demand for euro gold here in London is so intense it’s shocking to some of the players. This is what has left some market participants in the US wondering why the price of gold has risen along with the dollar. It’s because demand in the eurozone is unimaginably strong. The euro physical gold demand is off the charts and it is creating shortages for metal, in size, here in London.
The physical gold market is actually being drained by euro gold buyers. People are converting their euros to gold and there is only a finite amount of physical gold available. Again, that’s why you are seeing the dollar and gold rallying together.
We are also seeing very strong markets in Asia with solid premiums. Silver is in backwardation. There are huge premiums for size (large tonnage orders) in silver and you are going to wait 3, 4 or 5 weeks for delivery. There is constant backwardation into the March futures contract. For the most part, the bid on silver spot has been higher than the ask on March futures.
These paper markets are a joke. Nobody who is seriously in the business of taking physical delivery is trading on the COMEX anymore. That is big news. The COMEX is no longer a credible marketplace....
Continue reading the London Trader interview below...
“You now have international funds, whose compliance departments are saying to them, ‘You can no longer trade on the Comex because the CME did not back client accounts.’ There are a tremendous number of international funds and hedge funds that can no longer trade on the COMEX as of the first of this year because of compliance reasons and no one is talking about this. This is huge news.
Back to gold, if we get a pit close above $1,650 you could see a lot of scared shorts begin to cover. This could create a very quick move higher in the gold price. Also, if we get a pit close above $1,650, we are going to see a very large tranche of unfilled wholesale orders moving a lot higher with their bids, and that will become a base. There are massive orders for sovereign entities under the market here.
The Chinese are long-term thinkers and they really don’t care whether they are paying $1,600 or $1,700 for gold. What they do is get the best price they can. When the new floor eventually becomes $1,700, they will buy everything available at that price. When it becomes $1,800 they will buy at that price. They are just looking to accumulate gold and they are never sellers, never.
There are two things here. Yes, China wants a cheap gold price and they’ve been enjoying the fact the gold market was taken down. They have recently taken another roughly 150 tons away from the Western central banks. The Western central banks essentially donated that gold in an attempt to prop up their paper currencies. Yet again these traitorous Western central bankers have given away more power.
I see gold as power and once again they have given it away to the Eastern Hemisphere. The Chinese continue to laugh. As much as the Chinese would like to have a cheap gold price and have this manipulation keep going, they also want to bring the renminbi to the center stage.
To them, it’s more important the Chinese currency becomes the world’s currency. The dollar, despite the latest rally, is dying, we all know it’s dying. So, the Chinese are moving to become the international currency of the world and the best way to do that is through gold. It’s a very clever tactic. Every time more gold arrives in China, the more their currency is backed, the closer they move technically to becoming the world’s reserve currency.”
The flow of gold from Western vaults to Eastern vaults is the most important symbol of the decline of the West. As the East rises, the West falls. “So goes the gold, so goes the power.” Remember to be your own central bank by owning physical gold. Many in Europe have apparently figured this out as gold demand is, “off the charts.”
2012年1月16日 星期一
廣州人寧買房不買股
蘋果日報
【本報訊】內地人在 2012年錢該怎麼花？廣州社情民意研究中心進行一項民意調查結果，受訪市民今年的支出計劃大體可以總結為，「多花錢，少投資；寧買房，不買股。」
廣州社情民意研究中心公佈「北上廣市民看物價、房價和股價」的民意調查結果，調查發現，北京市民對物價、房價和股價變化評價，較上海、廣州為好，廣州市民對物價、房價變化評價均較差，上海市民則對股價變化不滿最為明顯。對政府調控的效果，同樣是北京市民的評價為好，廣州市民的評價為差，而上海市民仍凸顯對股票價格調控的不滿。
展望今年，三地受訪市民對於物價的預期較差， 56%的受訪者認為物價將不同程度上升。而對於房價的預期以看跌為主， 40%人認為房價將不同程度下降。股票價格預期則不確定， 50%人認為其前景「難說」。其中北京市民對房價下降預期較明顯。
宋鴻兵： 14年內遠離股市
此外，對房價出現由升轉降的拐點的專家意見， 47%的市民表示同意。而對近期政府官員「大家應對市場有信心」的股市評論，高達 42%的人表示「不同意」。對於上述「拐點說」和「信心論」兩種看法，收入越高者越持同意態度，收入越低者越持不同意態度。
黎民百姓不大相信「信心論」，《貨幣戰爭》作者宋鴻兵指，當前全球面臨的「貨幣危機」，貴金屬、農業和醫療保健才是當前值得長期投資的類別，股市方面，「未來 14年都要遠離」。
宋鴻兵說，借鑑歷史經驗， 2008年一直到 2024年之間將再度出現 16年左右的大熊市，不光是美國，歐洲、日本也一樣，全球最主要的發達國家都將陷入長期的消費蕭條，這對其他地區則意味着外部經濟情況惡化，「周邊的股市不好，中國的股市能逆勢上漲嗎？
【本報訊】內地人在 2012年錢該怎麼花？廣州社情民意研究中心進行一項民意調查結果，受訪市民今年的支出計劃大體可以總結為，「多花錢，少投資；寧買房，不買股。」
廣州社情民意研究中心公佈「北上廣市民看物價、房價和股價」的民意調查結果，調查發現，北京市民對物價、房價和股價變化評價，較上海、廣州為好，廣州市民對物價、房價變化評價均較差，上海市民則對股價變化不滿最為明顯。對政府調控的效果，同樣是北京市民的評價為好，廣州市民的評價為差，而上海市民仍凸顯對股票價格調控的不滿。
展望今年，三地受訪市民對於物價的預期較差， 56%的受訪者認為物價將不同程度上升。而對於房價的預期以看跌為主， 40%人認為房價將不同程度下降。股票價格預期則不確定， 50%人認為其前景「難說」。其中北京市民對房價下降預期較明顯。
宋鴻兵： 14年內遠離股市
此外，對房價出現由升轉降的拐點的專家意見， 47%的市民表示同意。而對近期政府官員「大家應對市場有信心」的股市評論，高達 42%的人表示「不同意」。對於上述「拐點說」和「信心論」兩種看法，收入越高者越持同意態度，收入越低者越持不同意態度。
黎民百姓不大相信「信心論」，《貨幣戰爭》作者宋鴻兵指，當前全球面臨的「貨幣危機」，貴金屬、農業和醫療保健才是當前值得長期投資的類別，股市方面，「未來 14年都要遠離」。
宋鴻兵說，借鑑歷史經驗， 2008年一直到 2024年之間將再度出現 16年左右的大熊市，不光是美國，歐洲、日本也一樣，全球最主要的發達國家都將陷入長期的消費蕭條，這對其他地區則意味着外部經濟情況惡化，「周邊的股市不好，中國的股市能逆勢上漲嗎？
2012年1月15日 星期日
UniCredit Failure is on Tap, Will Result in a Dozen Western Bank Failures OVERNIGHT
風暴愈來愈近 !
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
With the S&P massively downgrading the Eurozone nations Friday, The Doc interviewed Jim Willie of goldenjackass.com today regarding his thoughts on the Euro crisis and the implications to gold and silver.
When asked to clarify the timing for his call for an Italian bank to fail and initiate a domino like reaction in the banking system Jim responded:
Timing questions are the hardest- definitely the hardest. I don’t know, it could be a month. Back in early December I thought it was going to be early in the new year, like in the middle of January- late January that the first Italian bank would go. And it looks like it’s going to be UniCredit. UniCredit is just hanging on by threads. We don’t have full access to what their portfolio is but all indications are that they’re holding a lot of toxic paper and they’re shedding a lot of probably government bonds, and they’re selling a lot at the ECB window.
He continues further:
So next on tap is UniCredit going bad, going bust, failing, turning to dust. And when that happens look for at least another couple Italian banks to also go bust. And when that happens look for the French banks to go bust. The three major French banks. Credit Agricole, BNP Paribas, and Societe Generale. And when that happens look for at least one or two London banks to go bust- they’re all inter-connected!
We hear constantly about the counter parties for the derivatives that these banks own. And we hear that they offset. Like Bank A has credit derivatives for default of Bank B and vice versa, so they’re both ok, they cancel out. Well that’s DEAD WRONG! DEAD WRONG!! THEY BOTH DIE! They don’t help each other! It’s like saying well this guy’s drowning in a pool in the deep water, and so is his friend! Neither one can swim, but it’ll cancel them out, and they’ll both be ok. THAT’S A BUNCH OF GARBAGE!! The counter party risk is MUTUAL AND DEADLY!
When one or two banks go down, it’s going to hit overnight, hit rapidly, and probably involve a dozen banks. That’s my feeling Doc.
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
With the S&P massively downgrading the Eurozone nations Friday, The Doc interviewed Jim Willie of goldenjackass.com today regarding his thoughts on the Euro crisis and the implications to gold and silver.
When asked to clarify the timing for his call for an Italian bank to fail and initiate a domino like reaction in the banking system Jim responded:
Timing questions are the hardest- definitely the hardest. I don’t know, it could be a month. Back in early December I thought it was going to be early in the new year, like in the middle of January- late January that the first Italian bank would go. And it looks like it’s going to be UniCredit. UniCredit is just hanging on by threads. We don’t have full access to what their portfolio is but all indications are that they’re holding a lot of toxic paper and they’re shedding a lot of probably government bonds, and they’re selling a lot at the ECB window.
He continues further:
So next on tap is UniCredit going bad, going bust, failing, turning to dust. And when that happens look for at least another couple Italian banks to also go bust. And when that happens look for the French banks to go bust. The three major French banks. Credit Agricole, BNP Paribas, and Societe Generale. And when that happens look for at least one or two London banks to go bust- they’re all inter-connected!
We hear constantly about the counter parties for the derivatives that these banks own. And we hear that they offset. Like Bank A has credit derivatives for default of Bank B and vice versa, so they’re both ok, they cancel out. Well that’s DEAD WRONG! DEAD WRONG!! THEY BOTH DIE! They don’t help each other! It’s like saying well this guy’s drowning in a pool in the deep water, and so is his friend! Neither one can swim, but it’ll cancel them out, and they’ll both be ok. THAT’S A BUNCH OF GARBAGE!! The counter party risk is MUTUAL AND DEADLY!
When one or two banks go down, it’s going to hit overnight, hit rapidly, and probably involve a dozen banks. That’s my feeling Doc.
施永青：樓價上半年跌 10%
蘋果日報
物 業投資中，他個人會首選商舖，因仍有較興旺的旅遊業支撐，甲級商廈短期會有調整，長線也不失是好投資工具。至於住宅方面，因受政府房策所左右，特別細單位 所承受壓力較大，投資約 1000方呎以上的中大型單較有保障。他指出，如目前投資組合中，物業比例佔少於 30%，還可伺機出擊；如已逾 50%則要減磅。
此外，一手及二手市場交投繼續疲軟，一手昨錄約 10宗成交，其中紅磡昇御門佔半。至於二手市場極為平靜，只有業主肯降價才較易成交。市場傳薄扶林貝沙灣 5期單號屋，面積 9254方呎，業主原叫價 3.5億元，剛以逾 3.1億元售出，降價近 4000萬元。
【本報訊】本港樓市去年已進入調整期，在環球經濟未明朗，業界對其今年表現分歧頗大，中原集團董事施永青也指 樓市都存有極大變數，難以「睇通」，預計上半年整體住宅跌幅約達 10%，下半年則極視乎中國經濟能否擺脫歐美債務危機的拖累，才敢作定論。而相比之下，較穩陣的物業投資則首選商舖。
施永青昨出席集團旗下中原理 財講座後表示，今年整體樓市表現應呈跌勢，且前景並不明朗，估計上半年交投持續疲弱，樓價也會下滑約 10%。現時關鍵在於中國經濟表現，稍後能否證明可以不太受歐美經濟及債務危機影響，可保持 8%增長；如不保，要硬着陸，則本港樓市也必受拖累。不過，他個人較樂觀，相信下半年樓市會稍有起色，因此，集團上半年盡量不減少本港員工及分行數目。
投資商舖防守性強
然而，他認為，面對歐美都以「印銀紙」方式去解決自身的經濟及債務危機問題，投資氣氛不景下，持有任何投資工具甚至現金，基本上都會貶值。不過，持有如物業及黃金等的「實物」工具，相對較「穩陣」。物 業投資中，他個人會首選商舖，因仍有較興旺的旅遊業支撐，甲級商廈短期會有調整，長線也不失是好投資工具。至於住宅方面，因受政府房策所左右，特別細單位 所承受壓力較大，投資約 1000方呎以上的中大型單較有保障。他指出，如目前投資組合中，物業比例佔少於 30%，還可伺機出擊；如已逾 50%則要減磅。
此外，一手及二手市場交投繼續疲軟，一手昨錄約 10宗成交，其中紅磡昇御門佔半。至於二手市場極為平靜，只有業主肯降價才較易成交。市場傳薄扶林貝沙灣 5期單號屋，面積 9254方呎，業主原叫價 3.5億元，剛以逾 3.1億元售出，降價近 4000萬元。
全球僅餘12個「3A」國
文匯報
標普下調9個歐元國主權信貸評級，法國及奧地利的AAA最高評級被摘下，令全球仍獲標普、穆迪及惠譽3大評級機構同時維持3A的國家僅餘12個。
標普下調9個歐元國主權信貸評級，法國及奧地利的AAA最高評級被摘下，令全球仍獲標普、穆迪及惠譽3大評級機構同時維持3A的國家僅餘12個。
12個AAA國家中，9個來自歐洲，包括德國、荷蘭及盧森堡3個歐元區國家，以及英國、瑞士、挪威、丹麥、瑞典及芬蘭。其餘3國分別是加拿大、新加坡及澳洲。香港則是獲3A投資級別的中國特別行政區。
加、澳、丹、芬、瑞5國早年曾遭標普摘下3A，但多年努力後重新戴上「光環」，澳洲其間更失落3A評級17年之久。分析指法、奧有可能重奪標普的3A，但歷程將非常痛苦困難，必須在財政上作重大犧牲。
相反，日本於2001年遭標普褫奪3A後，至今已跌至AA-。愛爾蘭、冰島及西班牙等歐洲財困國，3A評級近年不保後，至今仍無法「翻身」。
■綜合外電消息
2012年1月14日 星期六
2006 1/2 oz 9999 Timber Wolf
本人唔係成日好彩, 呢隻加拿大2006年半盎司9999灰狼(連運費和匯費$315)就有少少 hair line, 而俾膠套啤死咗, 所以無得用摸銀布摸 !不過買得個三隻, 當收藏囉 !
1/10 oz libertad proof coin
連運費和匯費, $85 一枚
因為在香港難得買到細銀幣, 所以見到佢平過PM1/10 盎司樹熊, 所以訂了, 但在旺旺落完單後, 我才再去網上睇須唔須要買膠盒, 先睇到佢寫, 無得揀年份有可能不同年份和有少少hair line, 所以來貨時本來預咗是好多花痕的幣同無膠盒, 點知全部好靚女的2010年幣和有好cute 的小小膠盒裝住 !
2012年1月13日 星期五
各有各好
Canadian Little Skaters 1/2 oz 9999 silver Proof coin $428 (連運費和匯費)
Canadian Winter Town 1/2 oz 9999 silver Proof coin $428 (連運費和匯費)
Sunshine 1/2 oz 999 silver round $123 (連運費和匯費)
2012年1月11日 星期三
率先示警 證監籲注意投資風險
蘋果日報
針對 RQFII基金湧現，證監會昨日特別提醒投資者相關風險，指出這類產品只投資於內地單一市場，投資者要留意人民幣滙率風險，此外，由於至少有 80%資金投資於債市，投資者要注意利率走勢、發行商信貸及流通風險。
評級標準乏透明度
RQFII產品的資金至少有 80%投資於內地債市，投資於 A股少於兩成，因此，證監會提醒投資者要關注與內地債市相關的風險，舉例，發行商一般在內地成立，不受制於香港法例， RQFII基金對發行商行使權利時或會遇到困難或延誤。
另外，內地信貸評級機構可能對部份 RQFII基金所持有的債券或票據發出投資評級，但這些評級機構或缺乏透明度，其評級標準亦可能與國際認可的評級機構標準有很大差異。加上內地債市仍處於發展階段，買賣差價較闊，基金經理沽貨時或須支付較高的交易成本甚至蒙受損失。
針對 RQFII基金湧現，證監會昨日特別提醒投資者相關風險，指出這類產品只投資於內地單一市場，投資者要留意人民幣滙率風險，此外，由於至少有 80%資金投資於債市，投資者要注意利率走勢、發行商信貸及流通風險。
評級標準乏透明度
RQFII產品的資金至少有 80%投資於內地債市，投資於 A股少於兩成，因此，證監會提醒投資者要關注與內地債市相關的風險，舉例，發行商一般在內地成立，不受制於香港法例， RQFII基金對發行商行使權利時或會遇到困難或延誤。
另外，內地信貸評級機構可能對部份 RQFII基金所持有的債券或票據發出投資評級，但這些評級機構或缺乏透明度，其評級標準亦可能與國際認可的評級機構標準有很大差異。加上內地債市仍處於發展階段，買賣差價較闊，基金經理沽貨時或須支付較高的交易成本甚至蒙受損失。
2012年1月9日 星期一
Get Gold, Silver, & A Foreign Passport Before the Collapse
邊個還想移民去美國 ? 邊個還羡慕美國的自由民主 ?
原來全是假象 !
美國依家已軍國過俄國和中國 !
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
Jeff Berwick of The Dollar Vigilante tells SGTbull that besides gold and silver, a foreign passport is a necessity prior to the coming collapse.
原來全是假象 !
美國依家已軍國過俄國和中國 !
silverdoctors.blogspot.com
Jeff Berwick of The Dollar Vigilante tells SGTbull that besides gold and silver, a foreign passport is a necessity prior to the coming collapse.
2012年1月8日 星期日
James Turk - Gold is Great, But Silver is the Next Apple
kingworldnews.com
With 2012 off to a solid start, King World News wanted to do a gold & silver special with James Turk for KWN readers globally. All we can tell you is Turk came through in a very big way. Turk discussed gold, but let’s start off with what he had to say about silver: “Whenever I look at silver I keep going back to the wonderful blog piece you wrote on October 18th, titled, ‘Is Silver the Next Apple?’
That long-term chart of Apple conveys an important message. Despite five major corrections, over ten years, shares of Apple, nevertheless, rose 70 fold. If you were shaken out on any of those corrections, you would have missed one of greatest bull moves in history.”
James Turk continues:
“So that KWN readers globally can get a visual of how violent some of the corrections in Apple have been, I am including a long-term chart of AAPL below. As was mentioned in your October 18th piece, there were five major corrections in Apple, ranging from 27% to 82%, which long-term investors had to endure in order to make 70 times their money...
We have to transfer that big picture thinking to silver. Over the past seven months, silver has undergone what everybody seems to believe was a very nasty correction. However, a weekly chart of silver is still showing a very bullish picture. The flag pattern, which you and I have spoken about previously, is still very much in place.
If anything, the patten has now become stronger because silver is now testing support in the high 20s and looks like it is forming a double bottom. I still think this flag pattern will send silver to $70 in three months, once silver has broken out to the upside. Because it is a descending flag pattern, the breakout pattern has now moved down to $37.50, but $35 is the more important resistance level.
Once theses two levels are taken out, that three month move to $70 begins. So, as I see it, just keep accumulating physical silver here. The fundamentals for silver continue to remain very bullish and only time will tell if silver is the next Apple. I continue to expect that silver will go much higher and reach my $400 per ounce forecast....
Continue reading the James Turk interview below...
“If we go back a decade ago in silver and start the bull market in the mid 4s, and silver reaches my long-term target, it will have actually outperformed shares of Apple.”
When asked about gold, Turk responded, “Like silver, gold has come back and retested its September low. So it too is forming a double-bottom on its chart. Importantly, physical demand for gold, under $1,600, has been very strong. Now that gold is back above $1,600, we are starting to see some serious short-covering which should propel gold significantly higher.
Over here in Europe, the euro and the worsening European bank crisis are inevitably leading many people to the gold market as a safe haven. Consequently, I think it’s safe to assume that the low for gold is in place. In fact, Eric, we’ve probably seen, this week, the low price in gold for the year. In other words, onwards and upwards from here with a price well over $2,000 within sight.
Regardless of whether investors are accumulating additional gold and silver positions or simply holding on to what they have, people should remember those great lines from Jesse Livermore:
“And right here let me say one thing: After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight! It is no trick at all to be right on the market. You always find lots of early bulls in bull markets and early bears in bear markets.
I’ve known many men who were right at exactly the right time, and began buying and selling stocks when prices were at the very level which should show the greatest profit. And their experience invariable matched mine -- that is, they made no real money out of it. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money.”
With 2012 off to a solid start, King World News wanted to do a gold & silver special with James Turk for KWN readers globally. All we can tell you is Turk came through in a very big way. Turk discussed gold, but let’s start off with what he had to say about silver: “Whenever I look at silver I keep going back to the wonderful blog piece you wrote on October 18th, titled, ‘Is Silver the Next Apple?’
That long-term chart of Apple conveys an important message. Despite five major corrections, over ten years, shares of Apple, nevertheless, rose 70 fold. If you were shaken out on any of those corrections, you would have missed one of greatest bull moves in history.”
James Turk continues:
“So that KWN readers globally can get a visual of how violent some of the corrections in Apple have been, I am including a long-term chart of AAPL below. As was mentioned in your October 18th piece, there were five major corrections in Apple, ranging from 27% to 82%, which long-term investors had to endure in order to make 70 times their money...
We have to transfer that big picture thinking to silver. Over the past seven months, silver has undergone what everybody seems to believe was a very nasty correction. However, a weekly chart of silver is still showing a very bullish picture. The flag pattern, which you and I have spoken about previously, is still very much in place.
If anything, the patten has now become stronger because silver is now testing support in the high 20s and looks like it is forming a double bottom. I still think this flag pattern will send silver to $70 in three months, once silver has broken out to the upside. Because it is a descending flag pattern, the breakout pattern has now moved down to $37.50, but $35 is the more important resistance level.
Once theses two levels are taken out, that three month move to $70 begins. So, as I see it, just keep accumulating physical silver here. The fundamentals for silver continue to remain very bullish and only time will tell if silver is the next Apple. I continue to expect that silver will go much higher and reach my $400 per ounce forecast....
Continue reading the James Turk interview below...
“If we go back a decade ago in silver and start the bull market in the mid 4s, and silver reaches my long-term target, it will have actually outperformed shares of Apple.”
When asked about gold, Turk responded, “Like silver, gold has come back and retested its September low. So it too is forming a double-bottom on its chart. Importantly, physical demand for gold, under $1,600, has been very strong. Now that gold is back above $1,600, we are starting to see some serious short-covering which should propel gold significantly higher.
Over here in Europe, the euro and the worsening European bank crisis are inevitably leading many people to the gold market as a safe haven. Consequently, I think it’s safe to assume that the low for gold is in place. In fact, Eric, we’ve probably seen, this week, the low price in gold for the year. In other words, onwards and upwards from here with a price well over $2,000 within sight.
Regardless of whether investors are accumulating additional gold and silver positions or simply holding on to what they have, people should remember those great lines from Jesse Livermore:
“And right here let me say one thing: After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight! It is no trick at all to be right on the market. You always find lots of early bulls in bull markets and early bears in bear markets.
I’ve known many men who were right at exactly the right time, and began buying and selling stocks when prices were at the very level which should show the greatest profit. And their experience invariable matched mine -- that is, they made no real money out of it. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money.”
2012年1月7日 星期六
香港業主打贏巴菲特 去年港樓價升8％ 股神輸錢4.7％
hk.biz.yahoo.com
1月 7日 星期六
【明報專訊】回顧2011年，香港仍處在高通脹和低利率的大環境下，加上外圍經濟和金融市場極為動盪，要保存擁有的財富殊不容易。不過，香港的業主卻做到了，過去一年的成績更加跑贏了「股神」巴菲特！
可不是嗎？香港去年的通脹率高逾5％，但存款利率卻仍然接近零，大家都為保存現金的購買力而頭痛。若然因看不通後市，而選擇將銀行放在活期紅簿仔，則存款經過一年以後，大概不見了5個巴仙的購買力。而若選擇買股，恒指去年跌了約20％，對股民而言，除非獨具慧眼，否則可說是哀痛的一年。
更可悲的是，大部分打工仔都要供款的強積金，去年也錄得約8.4%的負回報！或許，一般港人較熟悉的投資工具中，還有黃金在去年升了10％，但大家要忍受得了期間的大幅波動。
相比之下，香港業主可說是去年較幸運的一群，雖然因政府不斷打壓樓市和增加土地供應，加上按揭利率回升和股市受壓等不利因素，樓價去年中起終稍見回落，但一般住宅樓價全年計仍錄得接近8％的升幅，這還未計期內享有3至4厘的租金回報！
文首說香港業主過去一年的戰績跑贏了股神，可不是亂說的。事實上，雖然美國股市去年表現不太差，標普500指數全年接近「打和」，但股神的投資旗艦巴郡，股價全年卻下跌了4.7%，跑輸了美股和香港的一般住宅樓價！
除了股神外，近年聲名大噪的「沽神」、在次按爆煲一役勁賺的保爾森，其旗艦基金Advantage Plus股價更在一年內勁挫達52％，至於有「債王」稱號的格羅斯，旗下的主力基金Total Return同樣表現不濟，全年僅升4.2%，不單輸給96%的同業，也不是香港業主的對手！
去年動盪 港樓調整相對溫和
當然，筆者不是說股神不濟，而是去年整體投資環境確實太過動盪，好淡因素多樣化，而且變化速度極高，相對之下，香港樓市雖然近月也開始出現了調整，但主要體現在成交萎縮，加上港人住屋或換樓需求依然強勁，樓價迄今的調整幅度亦相對溫和。
另外，正如銷售基金或其他投資工具時需要指出的是，過往的價格走勢和回報表現，並不代表未來會一樣，去年香港樓價堅挺，不代表今年仍一定可跑贏大市。這裏不評論現時是應否入市買樓自住或投資，但也想提醒大家，正如金管局前總裁任志剛所言，在香港沒有自住物業，與「沽空」樓市效果相若，因樓價和租金固然會有機會下調，但也絕不能保證不會回頭上升！
若賣樓炒股 賠了夫人又折兵
其實，過去一年，相信最惆悵的，還是那些賣了樓等樓價跌，卻又手痕將套現了的資金轉投股市的人，變成賠了夫人又折兵！
還有，大家更不要以為「跑贏」了股神，便沾沾自喜，筆者近日訪問了一位知名基金經理，他便說論投資成績，不能單以數月或一年便為英雄或狗熊，而是要經歷整個投資周期以後，才知誰是最後勝利者。而過去數十年，股神之所以成為股神，雖也有個別年份失手，但以十年或廿年計，卻是大贏特贏，而香港樓市也曾經歷多個起落周期，當中有曾賺大錢，也有被大浪畄走，當然也有永遠做塘邊鶴，過了數十年，仍是無殼蝸牛。
說到股神的致勝策略，他月前接受美國CNBC電視台訪問，其對答頗值得參考。訪問中，主持問他：「你是如何處理不確定性的？你是忽略所有的不確定性，還是說，你會想法處理這些不確定性，並做出投資決策？」
股神教路 著眼資產長期潛力
股神回應說：「世界總是不確定的。即使聯儲局主席伯南克來見我，在我耳邊小聲告訴我們他明天將會做這件事那件事，我也根本不會改變我對自己想要買入股票的公司的看法。將來肯定會出現各種各樣的大事件，肯定會有各種各樣的不確定性，最終真正重要的是你持有的公司、農場、房子未來這些年份表現如何。我無法確定買入和賣出的具體時間。」
若應用於樓市，我們永遠都不可能確定市場的短期變化，最重要是個人的分析和看法，不要受短期消息或人家意見的過度影響，而是在意買入物業的長期潛力。
明報記者 陸振球
1月 7日 星期六
【明報專訊】回顧2011年，香港仍處在高通脹和低利率的大環境下，加上外圍經濟和金融市場極為動盪，要保存擁有的財富殊不容易。不過，香港的業主卻做到了，過去一年的成績更加跑贏了「股神」巴菲特！
可不是嗎？香港去年的通脹率高逾5％，但存款利率卻仍然接近零，大家都為保存現金的購買力而頭痛。若然因看不通後市，而選擇將銀行放在活期紅簿仔，則存款經過一年以後，大概不見了5個巴仙的購買力。而若選擇買股，恒指去年跌了約20％，對股民而言，除非獨具慧眼，否則可說是哀痛的一年。
更可悲的是，大部分打工仔都要供款的強積金，去年也錄得約8.4%的負回報！或許，一般港人較熟悉的投資工具中，還有黃金在去年升了10％，但大家要忍受得了期間的大幅波動。
相比之下，香港業主可說是去年較幸運的一群，雖然因政府不斷打壓樓市和增加土地供應，加上按揭利率回升和股市受壓等不利因素，樓價去年中起終稍見回落，但一般住宅樓價全年計仍錄得接近8％的升幅，這還未計期內享有3至4厘的租金回報！
文首說香港業主過去一年的戰績跑贏了股神，可不是亂說的。事實上，雖然美國股市去年表現不太差，標普500指數全年接近「打和」，但股神的投資旗艦巴郡，股價全年卻下跌了4.7%，跑輸了美股和香港的一般住宅樓價！
除了股神外，近年聲名大噪的「沽神」、在次按爆煲一役勁賺的保爾森，其旗艦基金Advantage Plus股價更在一年內勁挫達52％，至於有「債王」稱號的格羅斯，旗下的主力基金Total Return同樣表現不濟，全年僅升4.2%，不單輸給96%的同業，也不是香港業主的對手！
去年動盪 港樓調整相對溫和
當然，筆者不是說股神不濟，而是去年整體投資環境確實太過動盪，好淡因素多樣化，而且變化速度極高，相對之下，香港樓市雖然近月也開始出現了調整，但主要體現在成交萎縮，加上港人住屋或換樓需求依然強勁，樓價迄今的調整幅度亦相對溫和。
另外，正如銷售基金或其他投資工具時需要指出的是，過往的價格走勢和回報表現，並不代表未來會一樣，去年香港樓價堅挺，不代表今年仍一定可跑贏大市。這裏不評論現時是應否入市買樓自住或投資，但也想提醒大家，正如金管局前總裁任志剛所言，在香港沒有自住物業，與「沽空」樓市效果相若，因樓價和租金固然會有機會下調，但也絕不能保證不會回頭上升！
若賣樓炒股 賠了夫人又折兵
其實，過去一年，相信最惆悵的，還是那些賣了樓等樓價跌，卻又手痕將套現了的資金轉投股市的人，變成賠了夫人又折兵！
還有，大家更不要以為「跑贏」了股神，便沾沾自喜，筆者近日訪問了一位知名基金經理，他便說論投資成績，不能單以數月或一年便為英雄或狗熊，而是要經歷整個投資周期以後，才知誰是最後勝利者。而過去數十年，股神之所以成為股神，雖也有個別年份失手，但以十年或廿年計，卻是大贏特贏，而香港樓市也曾經歷多個起落周期，當中有曾賺大錢，也有被大浪畄走，當然也有永遠做塘邊鶴，過了數十年，仍是無殼蝸牛。
說到股神的致勝策略，他月前接受美國CNBC電視台訪問，其對答頗值得參考。訪問中，主持問他：「你是如何處理不確定性的？你是忽略所有的不確定性，還是說，你會想法處理這些不確定性，並做出投資決策？」
股神教路 著眼資產長期潛力
股神回應說：「世界總是不確定的。即使聯儲局主席伯南克來見我，在我耳邊小聲告訴我們他明天將會做這件事那件事，我也根本不會改變我對自己想要買入股票的公司的看法。將來肯定會出現各種各樣的大事件，肯定會有各種各樣的不確定性，最終真正重要的是你持有的公司、農場、房子未來這些年份表現如何。我無法確定買入和賣出的具體時間。」
若應用於樓市，我們永遠都不可能確定市場的短期變化，最重要是個人的分析和看法，不要受短期消息或人家意見的過度影響，而是在意買入物業的長期潛力。
明報記者 陸振球
2012年1月6日 星期五
劉央持股重傷 三日蝕 9000萬
真是太天真啦, 忘記咗2008年時的教訓 !
蘋果日報
細價股走勢暗淡，慘蝕者包括鍾情細價股的「女股神」劉央。粗略計，旗下所持重倉的上市股份，在 2012短短 3個交易日市值蒸發近 9000萬元，難怪劉央在早前接受彭博電視訪問時亦疑似「發爛渣」，多次大罵「香港已經毫無希望」！
抨「隱形之手」造市
聯交所資料顯示，劉央旗下西京投資持股逾 5%的港上市公司近 30隻，絕大部份為小型的細價股。據統計，今年截至昨天的 3個交易日，逾三分二相關股份累計股價下跌，西京所持總市值大跌近 9000萬元至約 82.4億元。最重傷股份為劉央愛股人和商業（ 1387）， 3日累挫 4.7%，所佔市值挫逾 5000萬元，認真重傷。
劉央本周二曾火爆地表示，她曾經天真地相信基本因素，而香港背靠中國，理應擁有良好投資概念，但她去年所有投資項目回報均慘淡。她批評箇中原因，是因為有財雄勢大的「隱形之手」操控香港股市走勢，「我可以感覺到，但不知道他們是誰！」
蘋果日報
細價股走勢暗淡，慘蝕者包括鍾情細價股的「女股神」劉央。粗略計，旗下所持重倉的上市股份，在 2012短短 3個交易日市值蒸發近 9000萬元，難怪劉央在早前接受彭博電視訪問時亦疑似「發爛渣」，多次大罵「香港已經毫無希望」！
抨「隱形之手」造市
聯交所資料顯示，劉央旗下西京投資持股逾 5%的港上市公司近 30隻，絕大部份為小型的細價股。據統計，今年截至昨天的 3個交易日，逾三分二相關股份累計股價下跌，西京所持總市值大跌近 9000萬元至約 82.4億元。最重傷股份為劉央愛股人和商業（ 1387）， 3日累挫 4.7%，所佔市值挫逾 5000萬元，認真重傷。
劉央本周二曾火爆地表示，她曾經天真地相信基本因素，而香港背靠中國，理應擁有良好投資概念，但她去年所有投資項目回報均慘淡。她批評箇中原因，是因為有財雄勢大的「隱形之手」操控香港股市走勢，「我可以感覺到，但不知道他們是誰！」
2012年1月4日 星期三
2012年1月3日 星期二
胡總批西方「文化滲透」 籲官員提高警惕
文匯報
香港文匯報訊 (記者 王玨 北京報道) 國家主席胡錦濤在2012年第一期《求是》雜誌上發表文章，強調要建設社會主義文化強國。胡錦濤指出，國際敵對勢力正在加緊對中國實施西化、分化戰略圖 謀，思想文化領域是其進行長期滲透的重點領域。因此，官員要「警鐘長鳴、警惕長存」。
香港文匯報訊 (記者 王玨 北京報道) 國家主席胡錦濤在2012年第一期《求是》雜誌上發表文章，強調要建設社會主義文化強國。胡錦濤指出，國際敵對勢力正在加緊對中國實施西化、分化戰略圖 謀，思想文化領域是其進行長期滲透的重點領域。因此，官員要「警鐘長鳴、警惕長存」。
中共十七屆六中全會於去年10月15日至18日召開，主題是文化建設。在這篇題為《堅定不移走中 國特色社會主義文化發展道路，努力建設社會主義文化強國》的文章中，胡錦濤表示，當今世界正處在大發展大變革大調整時期，當代中國正在新的歷史起點上向著 新的奮鬥目標邁進，文化的作用更加廣泛而深刻。
「西強我弱」 尚未根本扭轉
胡錦濤指出，在世界範圍內各種思想文化交流交融交鋒更加頻繁的背景下，誰佔據了文化發展制高點，誰擁有了強大文化軟實力，誰就能夠在激烈的國際競爭中贏得 主動。他警告，必須清醒地看到，國際敵對勢力正在加緊對中國實施西化、分化戰略圖謀，思想文化領域是其進行長期滲透的重點領域，因此需要深刻認識意識形態 領域鬥爭的嚴重性和複雜性，警鐘長鳴、警惕長存，採取有力措施加以防範和應對。
胡錦濤稱，總體而言，中國文化發展同經濟社會發展和人民日益增長的精神文化需求還不完全適應，束 縛文化生產力發展的體制機制問題尚未根本解決，文化在引領風尚、教育人民、服務社會、推動發展等方面的作用還沒有得到充分發揮，中國文化整體實力和國際影 響力與中國國際地位還不相稱，「西強我弱」的國際文化和輿論格局尚未根本扭轉。
促文化輸出 旨提高軟實力
胡錦濤表示，要提高文化產業規模化、集約化、專業化水平，優化文化產業結構，促進文化和科技融合發展，推動文化產業成為國民經濟支柱性產業。要圍繞提高中華文化國際影響力和競爭力，積極開拓國際文化市場，創新文化走出去模式，不斷提高國家文化軟實力。
最後，胡錦濤還表示，要抓住和用好中國發展的重要戰略機遇期，在新的歷史起點上深化文化體制改革、推動社會主義文化大發展大繁榮。
2012年1月2日 星期一
How Silver Is Mined
How Silver Is Mined
What does it take to make pure silver coins and bars? This time we’re looking at the enormous task of mining silver. The video also reveals the key steps involved in the creation of doré bars – semi-pure bars that require further purification at a refinery before the silver can be used for minting.
What does it take to make pure silver coins and bars? This time we’re looking at the enormous task of mining silver. The video also reveals the key steps involved in the creation of doré bars – semi-pure bars that require further purification at a refinery before the silver can be used for minting.
2012年1月1日 星期日
羅家聰：恒指2013年才見曙光
hk.news.yahoo.com
【明報專訊】羅家聰在今年5月恒指處23000點時，已警告環球經濟增長見頂，本港股市及樓市會於今年內「轉角」，資產價格將大跌，呼籲投資者及早離場，結果被他言中。
他估計，港股短期內會急升或急跌，其後緩緩下滑。他估計，恒指很大機會見12000點，並要至2013年才能再見曙光。
亞洲資產見頂 罷買港股樓
他的意見是繼續「罷買」港股港樓。他指美國金融海嘯後，推出量化寬鬆政策，大量資金湧入亞洲新興市場。近兩年這類市場已被炒起，亞洲資產已見頂。「一眾投資者要獲利回吐，資金自然從亞洲流走。」他認為，資金流走的情况於明年會持續。
他指當年流入新興市場的資金，會隨着美國經濟表現逐步改善，而重投美元懷抱。雖然近期美匯指數回落，但羅家聰認為從技術走勢上看，已築好大圓底，有力再度向上。當美元強勢，其他地方股市自然受波及而轉弱。美股及美債的回報，會因資金轉移陣地而提高。
歐洲各國緊縮開支，削減國民福利，羅家聰估計將令政局變得動盪，歐洲多國勢必如希臘，出現更多政治亂局。「所謂財政聯盟，實際上是將錢包打通，奈何沒有錢在內。」所以他估計歐元區最終將走上解體之路。
【明報專訊】羅家聰在今年5月恒指處23000點時，已警告環球經濟增長見頂，本港股市及樓市會於今年內「轉角」，資產價格將大跌，呼籲投資者及早離場，結果被他言中。
他估計，港股短期內會急升或急跌，其後緩緩下滑。他估計，恒指很大機會見12000點，並要至2013年才能再見曙光。
亞洲資產見頂 罷買港股樓
他的意見是繼續「罷買」港股港樓。他指美國金融海嘯後，推出量化寬鬆政策，大量資金湧入亞洲新興市場。近兩年這類市場已被炒起，亞洲資產已見頂。「一眾投資者要獲利回吐，資金自然從亞洲流走。」他認為，資金流走的情况於明年會持續。
他指當年流入新興市場的資金，會隨着美國經濟表現逐步改善，而重投美元懷抱。雖然近期美匯指數回落，但羅家聰認為從技術走勢上看，已築好大圓底，有力再度向上。當美元強勢，其他地方股市自然受波及而轉弱。美股及美債的回報，會因資金轉移陣地而提高。
歐洲各國緊縮開支，削減國民福利，羅家聰估計將令政局變得動盪，歐洲多國勢必如希臘，出現更多政治亂局。「所謂財政聯盟，實際上是將錢包打通，奈何沒有錢在內。」所以他估計歐元區最終將走上解體之路。
1oz Buffalo Silver Round
呢個是我見到最似樣的 Buffalo round(NTR Mint 出產), 因為 Buffalo rounds 愈出愈多, 而好多簡化到連年份都無和無UNITED-STATES-OF-AMERICA 字印 !美國個邊愈出愈多 replica silver round, 所以大家買時, 一定要睇清楚, 唔好當古幣俾多咗錢, 因為它們只值近純銀的價錢 !
silvergoldbull.com
Buffalo silver rounds are some of the most popular silver investment items being sold today. Their design is based on the Indian Head nickel, also known as the Buffalo nickel, which was minted between 1913 and 1938.
Buffalo silver rounds are not produced by the US Mint, but rather by private mints. They have no official connection with either the Indian Head nickel or the American gold buffalo coin, but are rather inspired by their design.
On the obverse of the private mint issued round is a portrait of a Native American man along with the word “LIBERTY” at the top right edge. On its reverse is an image of a buffalo, along with the purity and fineness listing of “.999 FINE SILVER” along the top edge above the buffalo, along with the weight description “ONE TROY OUNCE” below the buffalo at the bottom of the coin. It has a diameter of 37 mm.
Since they are not officially minted bullion coins but rather silver rounds, silver buffalos can be bought at significantly lower premiums than officially minted silver coins like the American Silver Eagle and the Canadian Silver Maple. They will, of course, sell for a lower price too, since they are not world famous like silver eagles or maples. But silver bullion is silver bullion, and buffalo silver rounds are an efficient way to invest in silver at prices closer to spot.
Stephen Leeb: Expect $5 Gas, $60 Silver & $3,000 Gold in 2012
kingworldnews.com
With 2011 coming to a close and gold and silver stabilizing after the recent smash, today King World News interviewed acclaimed money manager Stephen Leeb, Chairman & Chief Investment Officer of Leeb Capital Management. KWN wanted to get his outlook for 2012 and thoughts on the recent takedown in the metals. When asked about the action in gold, Leeb responded, “The fact that gold has gone down, in the face of what should be good news, has really spooked people. But there are a lot of reasons you can have corrections, even the strongest markets have corrections. This could have started because Paulson sold a big chunk of his GLD.”
Stephen Leeb continues:
“Why did he (Paulson) sell GLD? Because he bet a lot on banks and banks lost 25% or 30% in value. There may have been other hedge funds in the same position. To put this correction in perspective, in 2008 gold went down, from top to bottom, by 34%. Most of that decline followed Bear Stearns. It reflected a lack of liquidity in the system.
The point I’m making is these kind of corrections are just that, corrections. This is hard to believe, but gold today, it’s yearly average is 20% higher than the yearly average in 2010. That’s a remarkable move. Gold had a great year.
All of the sudden you have an asset that’s been in an eleven year bull market and everybody is bearish on it. It’s quite remarkable when you think about it.
I just want to add that we are now shutting down refineries in this country because they are no longer profitable.....
“That means you could have a floor, not a ceiling, but a floor of $4 per gallon of gasoline this summer.
If Europe ever does get its act together we could see crude move to $120 to $130 a barrel. That would mean $5 a gallon gasoline at the pump. This is going to be a massive tax on consumers for which the government gets no benefit.
It’s going to slow down the economy and at the same time it will juice up inflation. This means the Fed is not going to risk another depression so they may loosen in the face of inflation going up. If that happens, not that gold would even need it, but this would take gold’s uptrend and add multiple turbo-boosters to it.
I’ll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it’s going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This correction, in other words, is a non-event. The rubber band analogy applies here, for every dollar down on gold, it will mean an extra dollar on the upside when we get the reversal.
It’s so important for investors that are not seasoned, it’s so important not to get shaken out of your position here. And if you have extra money on the side, this is a great buying opportunity.
Segueing into silver, silver is even better here. The Chinese have started to stockpile silver, sort of hidden in an announcement they made the other day. They are not going to export any silver. China is not going to export, according to their latest announcement, not even one ounce of silver.
So, if I were to target silver for the end of 2012, I’m going to be very, very conservative and say silver will finish 2012 at $60. It’s going to make new all-time highs.”