Today Egon von Greyerz told King World News that investors will now see a stunning 186% move in gold as the financial system begins to implode and silver heads to $150. Here is what Greyerz, who is founder of Matterhorn Asset Management in Switzerland, had this to say: “Eric, when we spoke last time I said that what’s happening in the US with the fiscal cliff is like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The US is sinking with a yearly deficit of $1.5 trillion, and total liabilities, including unfunded liabilities, of over $7 trillion per year.”
Egon von Greyerz continues:
“But
the fiscal cliff is just a minor issue which involves around $120
billion, at best, savings in a year. The US didn’t even succeed in
rearranging those little deck chairs because cost-cutting has been
deferred. I’m sure that in 60 days when this is brought up again they
will not cut costs significantly because no one will accept cost cuts.
The
politicians won’t accept it because it means they won’t be reelected.
And the people won’t accept it because they will be even worse off.
Just like we’ve seen in Europe, austerity won’t happen. Therefore, the
deficits will continue, and they will continue at an accelerated rate.
The
performance of the US government over the last few weeks confirms
that. They couldn’t even agree on increasing the debt ceiling, even
though the debt ceiling is a farce because it’s already been increased
150 times in the last 100 years.
“Look at Spain: The debt crisis has been
going on there for quite a few years and the consequences are
disastrous. There was a banking reconstruction in Spain about six
months ago which saved banks that were on the verge of bankruptcy.
Those banks were merged into one new bank, Bankia, which was
recapitalized.
Well,
Bankia has already eaten up that capital, which was about 4.5 billion
euros, and now the balance sheet of this bank is showing a negative
value of about 4.5 billion euros. So the bank now has a negative
value. Another Spanish bank is showing 10 billion euros of negative
value.
So
in spite of major injections by the eurozone governments, these banks
are collapsing. The same is true in Greece. In Greece, non-performing
loans are now exploding, and they were already up 50% in 2012.
Non-performing loans are now up to 55 billion euros in Greece.
Well,
55 billion euros is virtually the size of the rescue fund which was
meant to recapitalize Greek banks. The rescue fund was 50 billion
euros. So Greece has already used all of that money, and now they will
need even more. We know that the Greek state is bankrupt, but as I am
showing with these figures, the banking system is also bankrupt.
So what we are seeing in Europe, Eric, is
a financial system under pressure. The governments which are helping
these over-indebted countries survive are now scrutinizing all of the
accounts of the governments which are in trouble. When they are
scrutinizing these figures, they are finding that virtually all of the
assets are over-valued, and the liabilities are undervalued.
This
is what always happens in a financial system that is under pressure.
The same thing happening in Greece, Spain, and Italy, is also going to
happen in other countries, both in Europe and also in the US. As these
countries financial systems come under pressure, a lot of these things
which are hidden will come to the surface.
This
will reveal that assets within the financial system are greatly
overvalued. As I’ve said before, countries are allowed to value toxic
debt at virtually any value they want. A good example of this is
Deutsche Bank. In connection with the crisis in 2008, they did not
recognize up to 12 billion euros in losses on CDOs. They took the
profits on one side, but they didn’t book the losses on the other side.
There
has been an investigation into this and Deutsche Bank’s CFO has
admitted they did not book the losing side of the bet, which was a
potential liability as great as the outstanding 12 billion euros. He
said they didn’t book it because they were acting according to the
rules.
Eric,
this is the point I’m stressing to investors time and time again, that
the financial system is only standing because of false valuations. The
$1.1 trillion worth of derivatives outstanding are to a great extent
worthless.
Therefore,
we have two options: We can see the financial system failing, which is
a high risk, or we will see unlimited money printing worldwide. This
money printing is what I believe is going to happen, and it will
accelerate this year because it’s the only way to mask these losses and
keep the financial system from imploding.”
Greyerz also added:
“We have seen stock markets get a lift because of the so-called fiscal
cliff agreement. We could see global stock markets continue to rise
based on optimism and additional QE. But I think this is a final
rise. The danger is that investors will be sucked into this.
Thereafter, I expect a massive, long-term fall in global stock markets.”
Greyerz had this to say regarding gold and silver:
“Looking at gold, I was expecting a bottom for gold in the last week of
December. This has now happened in my view. We’ve seen the bottom,
and I now see the rise starting. Interestingly, my friend Alf Field
now confirms that the bottom is in. He is still looking for this move
to take gold to $4,500 and silver to $150.
So
2013 should be a spectacular year. Will we reach those targets this
year? We might. It’s not impossible. It may take a little longer,
but, regardless, investors have to remember they must own physical gold
and silver and store it outside of the banking system.”
2 則留言:
Thanks, Lisa ;)
回CK,
全心照顧寶寶是正確, 因為會累過返工 :)
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