By SRSrocco:
In less than two years, the Chinese Mint has increased the production of its 1 oz Chinese Silver Panda 1233%, from 600,000 per year to 8 million in 2012.
Even though this is certainly a massive increase in just two short years…. this may only be the beginning of something really big that is being planned by the Chinese Mint.
According to Louis Golino’s article “China Strives to Make Silver Pandas as Popular as American Silver Eagles“, we have just begun to see just how many Silver Pandas the Chinese plan on minting.
If we take a look at the chart below, we can see that the Chinese Silver Panda production figures have increased substantially since 2010:
According to Jim Orcholski who runs J & T Coins LLC Blog.com, quoted from the article above:
The main reason the mintage of these coins was increased so much starting last year is that it became legal in 2011 for Chinese citizens to own silver coins. This means that a lot of 2011 and 2012-dated coins remain in China.Jim went on further to say:
Despite the major increase in mintage the coins are not getting any easier to locate in the U.S. Mr. Orcholski said supplies are tight and that he was only able to secure one-third of the quantity he requested. He added that his distributor was unable to say when more coins might be available.———————–
I had an email exchange with Jim over the past few days and I asked him what he thought might be the 2013 mintage forecast for the Chinese Silver Panda. He stated they he and a few other coin dealers thought it would be at least 10 million.
If the Chinese want to make their Silver Panda as popular as the American Silver Eagle, I would imagine they would want to increase its production to over 40 million eventually… and this may be just for starters.
We must remember the Chinese Population is three times that of the United States. Once silver becomes popular in China, demand for the 1 oz coin could reach an easy 75-100 million in a single year. Of course, I doubt this would occur in the next few years, but I could possibly see these sort of figures within the next 4-5 years.
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