kingworldnews.com
On the heel of an absolutely wild trading week, China is about to shock the world and the global markets.
(King World News) Stephen Leeb: “Psychologists
have a term for it: denial. It’s the perfect description of all the
repeated, reflexive talk by Western analysts about how a debt-laden
China is on the verge of a hard landing that will threaten and possibly
destroy that country’s political and social fabric…
Stephen Leeb continues: “The
U.S., which for so long has been the world’s unquestioned No. 1 in
almost every sphere, finds it hard to face the reality that China now
rivals us on economic, geopolitical, and even military playing fields.
But no amount of denial can alter the facts. One pertinent fact is that
China has evidently moved its plans for development into a much faster
gear that will leave the massive Middle Kingdom fully prepared to live
prosperously in the 21st century.
America’s
state of denial, which has translated into complacency, could have dire
effects on our future. Unless our next president has both the
intellectual understanding and the political skills to crush that
complacency and launch massive economic programs to right the ship, our
economic prospects look pretty dim. I’m talking about an effort that
will be at least on a par with the effort it took to conquer the Axis in
WWII.
What Is Really Happening In China Will Shock The World
The recent gains in silver and gold coming in the face of Brexit and
other uncertainties that continue to plague Western economies represent
far more than a flight to safety. Rather, they’re unmistakable signs
that China has put its economic engine into another gear.
I
believe that gold and silver investments, almost completely
cold-shouldered by U.S. financial advisors, are perhaps the most
critical additions you could make to your portfolio. And that’s despite
the fact that after their stunning recent gains – especially in silver,
which is up 40 percent this year, and in gold stocks, which in many
cases have doubled or more in the past six months – you have to look for
a correction. But while short term this could be scary, over the longer
term it will be meaningless.
Keep
in mind that gold stocks still sit more than 50 percent below this
decade’s highs, while silver is 60 percent below its previous high of
50, which it reached in 1980 and almost touched in 2011. Gold, destined
to be the monetary leader, is also well below its previous highs despite
the fact that the yellow metal has outperformed every other major asset
this century by an epic margin. Since mid-2001, gold and silver have
turned in four baggers, while stock and bonds have climbed about 70
percent. Our financial planners should be ashamed of themselves for
ignoring the metals.
Over
the past week the statistic that most caught my attention was China’s
imports of copper. It’s not widely known that even in the past couple
years, when China was supposedly on the economic brink, China’s demand
for copper and other commodities continued to grow, though at a sharply
reduced rate. We attribute the sharp deceleration to China’s
anti-corruption campaign, which in some cases left critical agencies –
such as those having to do with energy, power, and even some parts of
the military – rudderless.
China Now Running At Full Throttle
Under new and more trusted leadership, these agencies are now running at
full throttle. During the first five months of 2016, copper imports
climbed 34 percent from year-earlier levels. The recent month-to-month
number, April to May, showed a 13 percent gain. The absolute gains in
imports are the highest ever over comparable periods, and even the
percentage gains rival those of when China was just starting its
unprecedented industrial expansion.
No
doubt this unbridled, wholly unexpected, and barely reported
acceleration has a number of causes, but front and center is the
country’s plan to build a 21st century power grid before critical
commodities like copper and silver become scarce. Unlike the U.S., which
uses less than 25 percent of its copper for electric cables, the
Chinese use nearly 50 percent of a much larger supply for its power
sector.
Comparisons Between U.S. & China Are Horrifying
In terms of power grids, the comparisons between America and China are
horrifying – to the degree that in a more rational world, this would be the
issue U.S. politicians are talking about. The gap almost defies
credulity. Between 2015 and 2020, China’s current plans are to spend
close to $400 billion dollars on its grid to increase ultra-high-voltage
lines to about 625,000 miles and high-voltage lines to 2.5 million
miles.
In
sharp contrast, America’s power grid currently measures about 200,000
high-voltage miles, while ultra-high voltage, which is necessary to
carry electricity over very long distances, doesn’t even register as
part of the grid. Our spending plans over the next five years are less
than a quarter of China’s. What more can I say, other than take a
valium, take a course in Mandarin, and pray that whoever we elect turns
out to have unsuspected depths and preternatural charisma and will
inspire this once great country to reach for greatness again.
China Now Stockpiling Silver At A Record Pace
Copper won’t be the first major metal to become scarce. That honor will
go to silver. As I’ve mentioned previously, silver production has
peaked, while China is stockpiling silver at a record pace as silver
will be a critical component of new energies in the 21st
century. And yes, China’s plan for solar energy, for which silver is
critical, dwarfs all others and as I have pointed out before, nearly
ensures major scarcities.
As
for gold, let’s try a Buffett-type “rhetorical” question. When silver
becomes nearly impossibly scarce, do you think it would make more sense
to have saved dollars or gold to be able to purchase the white metal? It
would not surprise me one bit that when Buffett leaves the scene, we
find a major stash of gold in the outsized vaults of Berkshire
Hathaway.”
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