QUESTION:
Dear Mr. Armstrong,
Firstly – sorry to hear about the passing of your mother.
Secondly – thank you very much for reading and answering questions.
My question – what is the significance of the six repetitions in
the ECM? Six 8.6 years make a cycle and six of these make a larger cycle
and then six of these make a super-cycle. Why six? Why not five or
seven? Can you explain the significance?
Thank you
g
ANSWER:
The Economic Confidence Model is actually a three-dimensional wave
structure. The volatility is a different frequency and that is what
determines the number of 8.6-year waves for this is building in
intensity. What you get at the end of these 51.6-year waves is very
profound. After the 1774.95 peak, we end up with a revolution against
the monarchy. The next wave peak in 1826.55 Russo-Persian War,
1826-1828, Greek War of Independence, Battle of Monte Santiago between
Brazil and Argentina, Mexican Constitution is formed, the Maryland
Democratic Party begins creating the confrontation between the Democrats
and Republicans (South v North), and even Thomas Jefferson and John
Adams both died on the 4th of July 1826 (1826.50) whereas the peak of
the wave was July 19th. The next wave 1878 saw the Long Depression which
was called the “Great Depression” until 1929-1932. Then the next wave
was 1981.35 which marked the peak in interest rates even to the day. The
next one will be 2032 and this will be followed by the shift from the
West to the East in economic power.
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