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As we get ready to head into 2017, banks now have near all-time record long positions in a major market, plus a look at gold.
The following charts are from SentimenTrader.
Commercial Long Positions Near All-Time Record!
The commercials have continued to dramatically increase their long
positions in the U.S. 10-Year Treasury market to near all-time record
levels (see stunning chart below).
For
a longer-term perspective, below is a 23-year chart of commercial
positions in the 10-Year bond market (see remarkable chart below).
The commercials have continued to cover short positions in the gold market (see 10-year chart below).
For an even longer-term perspective, below is a 23-year chart of commercial positions in the gold market (see chart below).
The
COT report has not moved into a bullish position as of yet because the
commercials are still short gold in terms of a historic basis, but it is
possible the gold market has seen its bottom, and on a short-term
basis, even bonds. We will have to see how the metals and bonds trade
in the coming weeks and if they can break out of their respective
downtrend channels. Regardless, the sentiment is extremely negative and
that is very bullish from a contrarian perspective. If you are
accumulating physical gold, just continue to purchase at the normal time
each month if you are dollar cost averaging. Stay disciplined and
don’t try to outsmart the market.
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