2024年3月6日 星期三

Gold prices hit $2.1K as 'perfect storm' brews: Strategist

finance.yahoo.com

Prices of gold (GC=F) have soared, breaking the $2,100 mark as investors bet on potential rate cuts. Phillip Streible, Blue Line Future Chief Market Strategist, joins Yahoo Finance Live to share his perspective on why the precious metal could be an attractive investment.

Streible says, "there is a perfect storm brewing in the gold market," with the commodity climbing $150 "above its February lows." He explains that in the event of a regional bank crisis, the Federal Reserve may "pull forward" anticipated rate cuts originally slated for May or June, providing a tailwind for gold to rally further.

The strategist also highlights that the forthcoming jobs report on Friday will offer crucial insights into rate cut expectations and inflationary pressures. He suggests that a figure below 200,000 could "expedite the prospects of an interest rate cut," although he urges caution regarding "seasonal factors" that may influence job market data.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live.

Editor's note: This article was written by Angel Smith

信報財經新聞

市場憧憬美國聯儲局6月減息,加上有避險資金流入金市,國際金價再創下紀錄新高。

紐約期金收市升0.73%,每盎斯報2141.9美元。現貨金高見每盎斯2141.84美元,升1.3%,收市報2127.91美元,升0.64%。

TD Securities商品策略主管Bart Melek表示,市場對聯儲局6月減息的預期升溫,金價預料續有扳升動力,牽動金價造好,第二季可望見2300美元。

聯儲局主席鮑威爾周三出席國會聽證會前,利率期貨數據顯示,交易商預期聯儲局6月減息可能性微升至70%。

銀價跌0.8%至每盎斯23.7美元。鉑金跌1.8%至每盎斯881.23美元。鈀金跌1.1%至每盎斯949.68美元。

2024年3月5日 星期二

【盤房來料】港股失守10天線 或再陷半生不死格局

信報財經新聞

美股高位整固,道指低開逾百點,一度跌174點,其後跌勢放緩,標指跟納指亦一度跌0.19%及0.47%。收市道指跌97點,標指跟納指分別跌6點及67點,跌勢溫和,不過反映中概股嘅金龍指數急跌近4%,拖累夜期及ADR跌近200點。今早黑期亦跌至16400水平,失守10天線(16591)預咗今日港股低開。港股低開低走,一度跌至16200水平,失守20天線(16291),考驗50天線(16172)。

恒指今早裂口低開252點,報16343,開市即穿10天線,跌幅持續擴大,最多跌413點,低見16183,其後跌幅收窄。恒指半日仍要跌323點,報16272;國指跌104點,報5608;恒科指表現較差,跌幅3.1%,跌110點,收3364。半日成交額632億元。

重磅科網股拖低大市,近日超強嘅美團(03690)終見回吐,半日跌近4%;騰訊(00700)喺業績期前停止回購,近日表現明顯弱咗,跌逾2%,不過暫時仍守65元支持位之上。京東(09618)將公布業績,半日股價跌近6%,成為表現最差藍籌股;同系京東健康(06618)亦跌近半成。阿里(09988)半日跌逾3%,失守70大關。至於百度(09888)、攜程(09961)及網易(09999)分別跌3.9%、3.8%及4.8%,小米(01810)亦跌3.6%。科網股疲弱,恒科指半日跌逾3%,跑輸大市。

金融股全線向下,大笨象(00005)半日跌0.7%,友邦(01299)跌2.8%,港交所(00388)跌2.2%;內銀股普遍跌1%以內,平保(02318)則跌1.1%。其他藍籌股只有七隻逆市上升,當中以信義光能(00968)升2.5%,表現最好;中移動(00941)升0.6%,聯通(00762)升1.1%;三桶油之中,中海油(00883)升0.7%。

比亞迪(01211)半日倒升0.4%,不過其他汽車股就延續跌勢,主要係隔晚Tesla跌7.2%,因其於2月中國產電動車銷量只有約6.03萬輛,創2022年12月以來最低水平,按月跌16%,按年更倒退兩成。龍頭銷量顯著倒退,其他汽車股銷量肯定凍過水,新能源車三傻,理想汽車(02015)跌3.9%,小鵬汽車(09868)跌1.8%,蔚來(09866)跌3.6%。

兩會開幕,市場靜待兩會有否利好大市消息,中國今年經濟增長預期目標5%左右,由於去年基數相對低,今年要達5%增長目標難度不大,不過市場對企業盈利動力仍然存疑,暫時5%GDP嘅目標,對港股刺激作用有限,港股借勢回吐。與此同時,美股跟日股強勢,中港股市雖然估值便宜,但人哋形勢遠比我哋強,只會更吸引資金流向相關市場。

港股仍未有資金流入,喺缺水情況下,難有太好表現,回吐能守住16200大關已算唔錯,即市較大支持為50天線,下一重要支持為16000心理關口。至於短期阻力,係已失守嘅10天線,若然短線未能重上16600水平企穩,,再成功挑戰100天線突破向上,港股或再陷入浮浮沉沉、半生不死格局。

麥狄文(徐狄怡‧證監會持牌人)