finance.yahoo.com
Many investors appeared to ditch American stock funds in April, in the
biggest exodus since the financial crisis. But far from taking that as a
bad sign, some investors view the news as an indication that stocks
have more room to run.
In April, U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs saw outflows of $35.8
billion, according to TrimTabs. That's the biggest move away from
American stocks since October 2008. And the bearish tone is confirmed by
the flows in the leveraged ETF space, where leveraged short ETFs saw an
increase in assets of 4.6 percent, while leveraged long ETFs saw assets
dip by 2.5 percent.
While flows information is by nature backward-looking and thus a poor
trading catalyst, this bearish tone does stand in stark contrast to
recent warnings that stocks are in an exuberant or bubbly condition.
"I actually think it could be a positive for U.S. stocks, because the
more people are fleeing equities, the less likely we are to have a crash
instantaneously," Boris Schlossberg of BK Asset Management said Monday on CNBC's " Trading Nation ." "It's only when we have bubble-kind-of-conditions that leads to very sharp corrections in equities."
Andrew Burkly, head of portfolio strategy at Oppenheimer, takes the
outflows as yet more evidence that "this continues to be one of the most
unloved bull markets in history."
"If we just look at the flow data throughout the course of the last
several years, we have not had those robust flows that we've seen in
prior bull markets," Burkly said. "Every time we go out to make 52-week
highs, people are just concerned that they missed it, and they're not
putting new money to work. And that just keeps perpetuating itself and
there's no opportunity."
Still, another reason for the recent outflows may be that investors are
turning away from U.S. stocks to pursue global opportunity; as TrimTabs
also notes, "global equity funds attract record sums."
And with the proliferation of liquid currency-hedged ETFs like the euro-hedged-Europe-tracking (HEDJ (NYSE Arca: HEDJ)) and the Japan-sans-yen-tracking (DXJ (NYSE Arca: DXJ))-both
of which have performed admirably this year-gaining attractive exposure
to foreign stocks has never been easier for American investors.
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