Today acclaimed money manager Stephen Leeb told King World News the West is becoming even more desperate as the Chinese are going to increase storage a staggering 180% this year for gold, silver and other metals. Leeb continues to believe that when the Chinese eventually have gold underlying their currency the game is over. Here is what Leeb had to say: “I’m focused on this battle between the West and the East right now, and the Basel III situation. The Basel III ratios that discuss liquidity ratios the BIS want the banks to maintain so they can survive a bank run are utterly baffling. The puzzling thing was what they said banks could hold in the event of a run on the banks or a liquidity squeeze.”
Stephen Leeb continues:
“The
last time we had a run on the banks was in 2008 when liquidity became a
major issue. In 2008, companies like GE were really having trouble
turning over their commercial paper, so this was impacting everybody.
The first of these Basel III requirements say that you can hold
equities or BBB- bonds. Even with a haircut of 50%, this is
ludicrous. Who is going to take a BBB- bond as satisfaction for
liquidity in a true liquidity crunch?
“Incredibly, the Basel III accord also allow banks to hold mortgage-backed securities as a liquidity cushion.
Gold
held its own in 2008, better than virtually anything else in the
world. So of course gold should have been included as an option
amongst those junk assets. So why don’t they include gold? Imagine if
they had mentioned gold as a liquidity cushion in the event of a major
catastrophe. Gold would probably be trading at $2,200 or $2,300.
What
would that say about the value of the dollar as a currency? It would
mean the asset which would be the ultimate hedge in a liquidity crunch
really is gold. But for them to say it would basically cause gold to
shoot up, and that would devalue all of the global fiat currencies
across the board.
Now,
ironically, to cause gold to up that much and that quickly could hurt
the Chinese because they are nowhere near buying the amounts of gold
they ultimately want to possess. So the Chinese are just sitting there
and saying, ‘Thank you,’ to the West because they are buying the hell
out of gold and they really don’t want to pay $2,400 for gold when they
can pay $1,600 or $1,700 for it.
Gold
trading in Shanghai is also picking up, and they will probably have an
ETF in gold in the next couple of weeks. Where are they going to get
the gold to put into the ETF? They are doing everything they can to
get as much gold as they can without totally disrupting the market.
The
reality is, and this upsets the hell out of me, but they are getting a
tremendous assist from none other than our BIS. I mean what would any
sensible person rather have in a liquidity run? Would you rather have
a BBB- bond, mortgage-backed securities, or gold? Obviously it’s gold.
Why
didn’t the BIS say it? I’ll tell you why, it’s because they are scared
to death. What you are seeing on the part of the West is
ever-increasing desperation. Now, is it a coincidence that Warren
Buffett, right after these ridiculous Basel III regulations came out on
liquidity, said, ‘He guarantees us that US banks are in great shape?’
How
great a shape are the banks in when fiat currencies eventually collapse
and gold, silver and other commodities go to the moon and the economy
stops functioning? They’re not. So everything we are seeing right now
is desperation on the part of the West. The West is losing their head
in terms of strategic moves because of this increasing desperation.
All
of this is playing right into what the Chinese would like the West to
do. They are giving the Chinese all the time they need to get their
yuan backed by gold. There was a news release last night out of China
stating, ‘Gold is going to become an ever greater part of our
reserves. We are going to try to do it in a measured way.’
What
do you think, that the Chinese are going to hold BBB- bonds and MBS as
a liquidity cushion? It’s preposterous. Either the people heading the
West have cumulatively lost their minds, or they are just completely
desperate.
The
message for investors is you better own gold. You better own some of
those junior gold mines. You better own silver. Yes, the Chinese are
accumulating silver for their energy needs. Right now the Chinese have
50,000 square meters of space to store metals. The Chinese are going
to add another 90,000 square meters (a 180% increase) this year.
This
is a country that is literally going to spend trillions of dollars to
build out, urbanize, modernize, and put together an energy grid that is
second to none. They know they will need a stable currency to do
that. The only way to accomplish this is to own a great deal of gold
to back their currency.
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