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Submitted by GoldCore
Silver has had a torrid time in recent months and has fallen nearly
40% since July. In less than four months, it is down from $21.40/oz to
$15.45/oz today. Silver is 70% lower since reaching over $49/oz in April
2011. The selling has accelerated in recent days and silver has fallen
from $17.20/oz on October 28 and is down 12% in the last week.
There is blood in the streets of the silver market with futures
speculators long silver, again having their heads handed to them on a
plate and incurring sharp losses. However, the silver sell off has again
seen a global scramble for physical silver.
In recent days, there has been a global scramble to acquire silver
bullion coins and bars after the price falls according to Reuters. Maple
Leaf silver coins are difficult to acquire according to bullion
dealers, with the Royal Canadian Mint on allocation from September.
There is a concern that supply times will increase and premiums are
likely to jump according to Reuters.
“A tumble in silver prices to four-year lows has triggered a
global scramble by consumers to purchase silver coins and bars, as the
spread between the price of the metal and gold reaches its widest in
five years.
Retailers and distributors in Asia and the United States said
they were struggling to get supplies of items such as Canadian Maple
Leaf silver coins.
While demand for silver has been strong over the last few months,
retailers say buying interest soared in recent days as the metal fell
towards its lowest since 2010, along with gold.
Demand for silver coins and bars accounted for more than a fifth
of total demand in 2013, according to a report by the Silver Institute.
A sustained jump in demand should support silver prices, currently at
just over $15 an ounce.
The price of silver is currently around 74 times cheaper than
gold - the biggest spread since early 2009. Due to its greater
affordability, silver sales tend to outstrip gold in volume terms and
attract a lot more retail buyers.
The Royal Canadian mint had started allocating, an industry term
meaning rationing, its popular Maple Leaf silver coins in September in
response to high demand, according to a spokesman.
With the allocation of silver coins in place, the mint continues
to produce and take orders for 2014 coins with no anticipated stoppage
in shipments, he said.
But retailers are already finding it hard to get hold of the mint's products as they sell out their existing stock.
Some Asian dealers said they have had to pull Maple Leaf coins from their lineup until they get the mint's 2015 products.
In mid-April 2013, silver lost nearly a fifth of its value in two
days, tracking a rout in gold, prompting a rush to snap up both the
metals at a bargain price.
While the Royal Canadian Mint is rationing silver coins, it has no such system for gold.
The U.S. Mint is not allocating silver or gold at the moment. In
June, the mint lifted its ration on silver American Eagle coins that
had been in place since January last year as strong demand had depleted
silver coin blanks.
The U.S. Mint sold 1.4 million ounces of silver American Eagle
coins on Friday alone, the highest daily sales since Jan. 13 when the
new 2014-dated coins first became available. October was the fourth
highest month of silver eagle sales ever.
The Perth Mint, which runs the only gold refinery in No. 2 gold
producer Australia, said it was not facing any supply issues as it
usually launches a new line of products from September, unlike the other
mints.
"We built up a lot of stock for those releases. So we have quite a
few months worth of stock," said Neil Vance, wholesale manager at the
Perth Mint.
"If this had been a different time of the year, it would have been a different story."
We have seen a significant uptake in demand for silver this week both
for maples and philharmonics and for larger 1,000 oz bars. Silver
maples are being snapped up by U.S. and Asian buyers as the premiums are
lower than that for silver eagles. Silver philharmonics continue to be
popular in Europe as they too are less expensive than the eagles and
have a similar premium to maples.
Silver coin demand is for both delivery and storage, while bar demand is primarily for bullion storage in Zurich and Singapore. The demand is broad based and coming from both retail investors and indeed high net worth.
Silver is down 70% in less than four years as stock and markets have
surged to record highs. The gold: silver ratio has surged to a peak of
75.4 this morning, its highest since early 2009, as silver
underperforms falling gold. Silver is great value today versus stocks
and bonds and indeed versus gold. The smart money accumulates on dips
and buys low, to sell high.
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