kingworldnews.com
Today
the man who has become legendary for his predictions on QE, historic
moves in currencies, and major global events warned King World News
about a $500 trillion ticking time bomb that will devastate the global
financial system.
Egon von Greyerz:
“Eric, markets are waiting for the Fed decision on December 16. At
this point the Fed doesn’t have a clue what to do. Since they have no
long-term policy and only react to events, they hope that in the next 26
days they will have more clarity…
Egon von Greyerz continues:
“Increasing rates by 1/4 percent would give the indication of a strong
economy. So the primary reason why they would lift rates is to give the
illusion that all is well in the United States.
The $500 Trillion Ticking Time Bomb
But
Yellen knows that things are far from well. She knows that
unemployment is not 5 percent, since 94 million people capable of work
are not working. She also knows that the risks in the U.S. and in the
world economy are greater than ever.
The
U.S. federal debt is $18.5 trillion and total debt is close to $70
trillion. On top of that there are unfunded liabilities in excess of
$200 trillion, plus there is around $500 trillion of
interest-rate-sensitive derivatives in U.S. banks.
With
a debt and risk position of around 3/4 of a quadrillion dollars, it’s
not the most comfortable position for the Fed to increase interest
rates. On top of that, the overvalued U.S. stock market could hardly
cope with an interest rate increase. The market is in the final stages
of a secular bull market and any bad news will be the catalyst for a
bear market of massive proportions.
Sub-Prime Problems
The bubble credit markets in the U.S. have created debts in many sectors
that will never be repaid. Car loans are now developing into a
sub-prime problem and so are student loans. And junk bonds have crashed
by 1/3 in the last 15 months. A major part of the problem is of course
the oil and gas sector, but other areas are also under pressure.
Corporate
debt has also been surging. Since 2009, net corporate debt has risen
from $1 trillion to $2.5 trillion. This trend is particularly dangerous
since profits are now falling because debt is increasing. In the long
run it will make no difference what the Fed decides to do with interest
rates at the December meeting.
The
U.S. economy and the U.S. dollar will fall regardless of what the Fed
does because no economy can ever survive a such a massive debt burden. I
doubt there will be an increase in interest rates but the Fed has made
many incorrect decisions in the past.
So
if the decision isn’t crystal clear, what is absolutely certain in my
view is that in early 2016 the Fed will start its next phase of
quantitative easing. And that program will dwarf all the money printing
that the Fed has ever embarked upon. When the next money-printing
bonanza has finished in a few years time, the Fed may have already
printed over one quadrillion dollars.
But
it’s not just the U.S. that has problems. In Europe, 12 countries now
have negative interest rates. European countries are making futile
attempts to create inflation. Draghi just announced that the ECB will
‘do what we must to lift inflation as quickly as possible.’ This makes
it totally clear that the ECB will increase its QE program in December.
But
the coming worldwide money-printing binge will have no positive effect
on the global economy. All it will do is create hyperinflation and
collapsing currencies. 2016 will be annus horribillis for the
world. The very few who hold physical gold and silver will at least
hold insurance that will protect them from total wealth destruction.”
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