kingworldnews.com
With
so much focus on the West’s massive money printing schemes, here is the
shocking reason why China will send the price of silver skyrocketing
over $100.
Stephen Leeb: “Whatever
your views about climate change, the reality is that the world as a
whole is rushing to replace fossil fuels with renewable energies (along
with nuclear, which is so plentiful that for all intents and purposes it
can count as renewable). And while in recent articles we’ve focused on
the forthcoming massive bull market ahead in gold, the
transition to renewables will mean at least comparable opportunities
for investors in another metal: silver, which is destined to soar into
triple-digit territory…
Stephen Leeb continues: “While
gold’s rise will mainly reflect its role as a currency as commodity
shortages emerge, silver – which also has a history over the millennia
as a precious metal – possesses special qualities as an industrial metal
that will give it an added kick. For instance, it’s one of the best
conductors of both electricity and heat, giving silver a critical role
in industrial applications ranging from automobiles to computers and
mobile phones (and virtually all modern electronic devices).
Silver Playing A Massive Role In Renewable Enegery
And of rising importance as
the world seeks to move away from fossil fuels, silver is also a
critical component in photovoltaics, a renewable energy whose growth
over the past decade has been spectacular at nearly 100-fold. In
2006 photovoltaics was just a twinkle in European and Middle Eastern
eyes. Recently China has been leading its growth: in the past five
years, China has counted for around 50 percent of solar’s gains.
Shocking Chinese Demand To Send Silver Prices Skyrocketing
Looking ahead, estimates of growth in photovoltaics between 2015 and
2020 range from about 250 gigawatts (the IEA) to well over 400 gigawatts
(Bloomberg New Energy). Moreover, virtually all reputable researchers
expect accelerating growth through at least the next decade. China
had installed about 45 gigawatts of photovoltaics by 2015. It aims for
1000 gigawatts by 2030, nearly five times what the entire world has
installed today.
Basic
math shows what this means for silver consumption. Today it
takes about
2.8 million ounces of silver to produce one gigawatt of solar power. If
we assume that about 650 gigs will be installed worldwide by 2020,
simple multiplication and division tell us that about 35,000 tons of
silver, or 1 billion ounces, will be needed by 2020.
And
photovoltaics constitutes just one part of the demand side for silver.
Demand for silver for computers, the internet of things, and, indeed
anything electronic – and for coins and jewelry, especially in the East –
will also continue to grow. But solar energy will be responsible for the greatest growth in demand.
World To Face Massive Silver Shortages
So where will all this extra silver come from? According
GFMS, a division of Thompson and Reuters, silver supplies have peaked.
In its most recent analysis it sums up the supply situation as follows:
“Declining total supply is expected to be a key driver of annual
deficits in the silver market going forward.” In other words, when you combine the basic demand math along with supply assumptions, the
world is facing a five-year supply shortage that amounts to more than
one year of production, or enough to draw down to nearly zero all the
aboveground silver inventories that might be used to fill the gap.
After
2020, increasing silver demand will mean increasing rationing of the
metal, which can only be done by via extraordinarily high prices. Of the
world’s major countries, only China seems to get the message and to be
preparing for this eventuality, with China’s recent silver imports
soaring to five-year highs. Meanwhile, U.S. imports have stagnated.
Barring
a miracle, silver prices are going to the moon, leaving the U.S. in a
very difficult position. It would not surprise us one bit if silver is
confiscated much like gold was during the Depression. This means, as was
the case with gold, the best investments are likely to be silver
producers. Over the next decade almost all credible silver producers could see their prices multiply by anywhere from 10- to 100-fold.”
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